Wednesday’s 15-game MLB slate gives bettors plenty to sort through in the home run prop market, and three names stand out on the board: Cody Bellinger, Mike Trout and Bobby Witt Jr.
The day starts with a reminder of how volatile this market can be. Tuesday’s Daily Dinger play landed in dramatic fashion when Tampa Bay Rays All-Star Junior Caminero (+311) drilled a walk-off homer to beat the Athletics. Home run bets are never easy, but when the bat is hot and the matchup is right, the payoff can come fast.
Bellinger looks like the strongest of the bunch. The Yankees outfielder went deep again on Tuesday against the Twins, giving him 16 homers on the season.
Since returning from the injured list after missing time with a hamstring injury, he’s been locked in, batting .326 with five homers in 22 games, 21 of them starts. Four of those blasts have come in the last seven days, and during that stretch he’s hitting .407 with a 1.340 OPS, six extra-base hits and nine RBIs.
On Wednesday, he gets Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews, who has a 4.98 ERA and has surrendered 23 home runs in 21 appearances this season, including four in two starts this month. Bellinger is also 2-for-8 with a homer against Matthews in his career, and the price sits near 6/1 even after his homer Tuesday night.
Minnesota’s bullpen doesn’t offer much relief either, ranking fifth-worst in MLB in ERA.
Trout is another name worth circling in a rivalry matchup with Seattle. The Angels star has 21 home runs in 132 games this season, one of the healthier years he’s had recently, and his recent form has ticked up.
Over the last week, he has one homer and a .940 OPS in six games. Over the last two weeks, he’s batting .286 with an .864 OPS across 12 games.
Trout also has some history against Mariners right-hander George Kirby, going 4-for-14 with a homer and a .944 OPS in their meetings. Kirby has had a rough 2026 season, posting a 4.25 ERA while allowing 186 hits in 165.1 innings and 21 homers in 28 outings.
Trout’s price is listed at +402.
The third play is Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., who takes his swing on the road against the Astros at Daikin Park. Witt has 18 home runs this season, and the setup looks favorable with Cristian Javier on the mound.
Javier owns a 5.50 ERA and has allowed nine home runs in 15 appearances this season, including six in his last seven outings since Aug. 1.
Witt hasn’t seen much of Javier, but he’s made the most of it, going 3-for-5 with a homer, a triple and a 2.267 OPS against him. Fourteen of Witt’s 18 homers this season have come against right-handed pitching, and Houston’s bullpen has also been vulnerable, carrying a 4.11 ERA with 84 home runs allowed, the fifth-most in MLB.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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The 5-2 win then turned into one of those nights the Royals have been hoping to stack more often, with the bullpen taking over and holding the line behind Craig Kimbrel, Bryan King, Enyel De Los Santos and Nate Pearson. Lynchs outing did not solve every question about the rotation, but it at least gave Kansas City a reason to think it may have found a starter it can trust to shorten games instead of forcing the relief corps into damage control. [Read more 🡒]