Jaguars Run Defense Faces Its Biggest Test Yet Against Jonathan Taylor

ESPN's Seth Walder projects a tough outing for Colts' star Jonathan Taylor against a formidable Jaguars run defense, in what may be a pivotal matchup for both teams.

The Jaguars are heading into Week 8 with one matchup that will demand immediate attention: Jonathan Taylor. Indianapolis comes to Jacksonville with a season that has gone sideways, but Taylor has still been the engine keeping the Colts afloat.

He’s put together a heavy workload through seven games, piling up 587 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. His average sits at 4.2 yards per carry, and he’s topped 90 rushing yards in five of those seven outings.

Last week against Minnesota, he finished with 95. The one real exception came in Week 5 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, when he was held to 45 yards on 15 carries.

ESPN’s Seth Walder thinks Jacksonville can put Taylor in that same neighborhood again.

"Colts RB Jonathan Taylor will record fewer than 50 rushing yards for just the second time this season," he wrote. "The rushing attack has been one of the only things that has gone right for the Colts. But I think they'll struggle in Week 8 facing the Jaguars' defense, which has the best EPA allowed per designed rush in the league, without Nelson."

That’s the key here: Jacksonville has been the league’s best run defense, and Walder noted the Jaguars lead the NFL in EPA allowed per designed run. The Colts’ task gets tougher because they’ll be doing it without one of football’s premier run blockers in front of Taylor.

Indianapolis traded six-time All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson to the Seattle Seahawks on Tuesday for a 2027 third-round pick and a 2028 fifth-round selection. Nelson had been the Colts’ left guard since they drafted him sixth overall in 2018. Rookie Jalen Farmer is lined up to make his first NFL start in Nelson’s spot on Sunday.

That leaves Taylor as the clear centerpiece of the Colts’ offense. With Indianapolis still searching for steadier production from Daniel Jones and the passing game, the Jaguars know exactly where the stress point is.

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