The Jaguars don’t need to guess much heading into Week 2.
After opening with an easy win over the Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville now turns to a road matchup with the Denver Broncos, and the way Denver looked in its 31-10 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football gave Liam Coen’s team a pretty clear road map.
The biggest issue for Denver was simple: Bo Nix was under constant heat, and when that happened, the offense fell apart. The Broncos leaned pass-heavy against Kansas City, with the running backs combining for just 11 carries for 54 yards.
Nix dropped back 32 times, was sacked four times, and finished 17-of-28 for 131 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Denver managed only 115 net yards.
By EPA/Dropback, Nix had one of the roughest outings of Week 1, finishing 31st out of 32 quarterbacks. The only passer he outperformed by that metric was Atlanta Falcons quarterback Cooper Rush; Nix also graded worse than Deshaun Watson did against the Jaguars.
The pressure numbers tell the same story. According to NFL NextGenStats, Nix was pressured on 45.5% of his dropbacks, his second-highest pressure rate in a game in his career.
The Chiefs’ four sacks nearly matched the total they had recorded against him across his first four career games versus Kansas City combined. Under pressure, Nix went 2 of 10 for 5 yards and an interception, including two strip-sacks.
From a clean pocket, he was 15 of 18 for 126 yards and a touchdown.
That’s the formula Jacksonville needs to follow in Week 2. If the Jaguars can get after Nix the way Kansas City did, Denver’s offense can be forced into a miserable night.
Jacksonville already showed it can bring the heat, piling up the most sacks of any defense in Week 1 with five against Watson. The Jaguars also lead the NFL in sack rate after one game and ranked No. 5 in pressure rate.
There’s another edge here for Jacksonville: this isn’t unfamiliar territory. The Jaguars beat Denver 34-20 in Week 16 last season, which gives Coen’s staff some existing film to work with before Sunday.
"The coaches are extremely busy looking at, obviously, Denver post when we played them and sort of how they looked. We can look at the preseason a little bit because, obviously they have a new coordinator calling plays and what his flow looked like and some of the rhythm and ways that he called the game. We can look at those, but yeah, we have to wait a little bit to see what they truly look like tonight," Jaguars head coach Liam Coen said on Monday.
"So, it'll be a late night for us as coaches, and an early morning to get started. So it does leave you a little bit behind from that standpoint but we did play them late in the year, which does give us at least an idea of who they are, what they were like in a lot of ways, be able to get a lot of the scouting report information and some of the minutiae stuff that we get to a little bit earlier in this day. But yeah, we got to wait a little bit to get to see them really perform tonight.”
A win would put Jacksonville at 2-0 for the first time since 2018. The Jaguars have started 2-0 only twice this century, with Tom Coughlin, Jack Del Rio, and Doug Marrone all reaching that mark. If Jacksonville can make Nix uncomfortable again, Coen would be in position to join that group.
The offense still has to do its part, though, and there may be room to attack Denver’s run defense. The Broncos struggled to slow down Kansas City’s revamped ground game, and the Jaguars may look to Bhayshul Tuten there. Denver also missed 28 tackles against the Chiefs and gave up 247 yards after missed tackles, the most by any defense in a game since at least 2018, according to NextGen Stats.
That’s the opening Jacksonville has been handed. Denver already showed where it can be beaten. Now the Jaguars just have to hit those spots.
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Jaguars Just Got Another Reason To Feel Overlooked In Week 2
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Jaguars Week 1 Grades Put Early Pressure On One Veteran
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The grading also put an early spotlight on the other side of the ledger, and it is not a great look for one veteran trying to settle into the season. Arik Armstead landed among the lowest-graded players overall, a development that adds a little pressure after a game in which Jacksonville was otherwise able to start the year with a win and some positive tape to build on. [Read more 🡒]