Jaguars Bye Week Could Quietly Shape The AFC South Race

Even during a bye week, strategic losses elsewhere can pave the way for the Jacksonville Jaguars to solidify their playoff aspirations.

The Jaguars may be on a bye in Week 7, but the standings board keeps moving without them. At 4-2, Jacksonville still sits alone in first place in the AFC South, and a few results around the league could make that position look a lot more comfortable by the time the Jaguars return.

The biggest one is obvious: pull for Houston to stumble. The Texans are the only true threat to Jacksonville’s place at the top of the division, and any win they stack up makes the race tighter than the Jaguars would like.

That leaves Jacksonville in the awkward spot of rooting for J.J. McCarthy.

Not ideal, but that’s the assignment.

There’s also the bigger picture in the AFC, where playoff positioning is already starting to matter. The Jaguars are tied at 4-2 with the Broncos, but Denver already owns the tiebreaker after beating Jacksonville in Week 2. That means the Jaguars should be looking for the Broncos to drop a few games, starting with the Cardinals this week, so Jacksonville doesn’t get squeezed later when seedings start to matter more.

The same logic applies at the top of the conference. The Chiefs are the team to chase right now with their undefeated record, and even though the Bills also sit ahead of Jacksonville, they’re on bye. Kansas City gets a prime-time chance to take a hit against the Seahawks, and the Jaguars should be hoping that happens.

Jacksonville should also be keeping one eye on the Browns-Titans game, even if it doesn’t look glamorous on paper. The Browns are sitting at 4-2, but the Jaguars need to root against every AFC team with playoff ambitions, and Cleveland is somehow in that mix. A Titans win would be the kind of small but useful result that can matter later.

And then there’s Indianapolis, where Week 7 could shape Jacksonville’s next divisional test. The Jaguars face the Colts in Week 8, and the way things go against the Vikings could affect what kind of opponent Jacksonville gets.

The Colts have already made a major move by firing Chris Ballard after six games, and a rough loss might push them toward moving some of their difference-makers, beginning with DeForest Buckner and Jonathan Taylor. If that happens, the Jaguars could be looking at a much different Colts team when they meet in Jacksonville.

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