Iowa-Wisconsin May Come Down To One Familiar Hawkeyes Edge

In a high-stakes Big Ten matchup, Wisconsin's strategy to overcome recent rushing struggles against Iowa may hold the key to victory.

Cedar Rapids

The breakthrough win over USC gave Wisconsin something to point to, but Luke Fickell wasn’t spending much time on it this week. Not with Iowa on deck. Not with the Badgers heading to Kinnick Stadium, where the recent history has been ugly.

Iowa (5-2) and Wisconsin (5-2) meet Saturday at 11 a.m. at Kinnick Stadium on FOX, and Fickell was blunt about what has gone wrong in the last three meetings he has coached in.

“It hasn't been great for us,” Fickell said. “And to be honest with you, I can point (to) a few things about it, tell you things right off the bat here.”

He did exactly that.

“I think we've been outrushed in this game over the last three years something like 740 to 350,” Fickell said. “I think that the turnover margin in the last three years is seven to one.

So there's a lot of things that haven't gone well for us in in this rivalry game, and we need to do a whole lot to change that. It's not going to be easy.”

The numbers back up the frustration. Iowa blasted Wisconsin 37-0 last season in Madison and beat the Badgers 42-10 at Kinnick Stadium two years ago. The Hawkeyes also won in 2023, 15-6, and in 2022, 24-10.

Fickell was essentially right about the ground game split over his three games in the series, though the actual rushing margin is 729-347 for Iowa.

That rushing edge matters again because both teams have built their seasons around defense. Wisconsin and Iowa rank sixth and seventh, respectively, in the Big Ten in yards allowed per game. They are second and sixth in rushing yards allowed per game, and both are giving up fewer than 100 on the ground.

Offensively, Iowa is fifth in the league in rushing yards and Wisconsin is ninth, though both rankings come with context. Iowa has rolled up huge ground numbers against Northern Illinois, Northern Iowa and Washington, but had trouble getting its run game going against Iowa State, Michigan, Ohio State and Minnesota. Against the Gophers, running back Kamari Moulton suffered a season-ending injury.

Wisconsin has dealt with injuries in its own backfield, too. The Badgers held USC to minus-18 rushing yards last week and put up 143 yards on 43 carries themselves. Abu Sama, who was expected to be the team’s lead back, has been limited to five games because of injury, though he is averaging 5.8 yards per carry.

Sama, the Southeast Polk High School graduate who transferred from Iowa State after Matt Campbell left the Cyclones following last season, said before the season that he had done his homework on Wisconsin’s running back lineage.

“Coach (Jayden) Everett did a good job of explaining the history of this place,” Sama told reporters preseason, referencing Wisconsin’s running backs coach. “I did a lot of research, and before I came out, I already knew some of the guys. Definitely knowing the running backs that came from the past here and just kind of follow in their footsteps but take my own path and do something great here was definitely a key factor in why I came here.”

Against USC, Sama led Wisconsin with 71 rushing yards on 17 carries. Joseph Colton, the quarterback, had the next-highest carry total with 15.

Fickell said he believed Sama was trending in the right direction.

“I felt like Abu was going to be a guy that we were going to count on all year from the time we got into spring football all the way through fall camp,” Fickell said. “(Last) week, we felt like he was finally back to a spot where hopefully he could be healthier and maybe carry the ball (more).

“It was finally that first opportunity that we actually had to feed him a little bit more, and sometimes you can come out of it saying ‘I wish we could have done it a few more times.’ But I feel like Abu's in a better place, I feel like he's getting more confidence in what it is he's doing. It's not just playing the game, but it's even in his health that he is a little bit more aggressive in some of the things.”

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