Rainy Duval Showdown: How the Weather Could Shape Jaguars vs. Colts in Pivotal AFC South Clash
The stakes are sky-high in Jacksonville as the Jaguars host the Colts in a Week 14 matchup that could decide who takes control of the AFC South. But while the playoff implications are clear, there’s another factor looming over this one - and it’s coming from the sky.
Rain, Rain, and More Rain
The forecast for Jacksonville isn’t just calling for rain - it’s calling for a downpour. According to Weather.com, there’s a 100% chance of steady rainfall throughout the game, with one to two inches expected. That’s not just a drizzle; that’s the kind of weather that changes how games are played.
Meteorologist Ryan Morse summed it up best: “Looking sloppy today in Jacksonville.” The rain is tied to a stalled front that’s expected to hang over the area all afternoon.
The good news? Temperatures will hover around a mild 61 degrees, and winds should stay manageable at 5 to 10 mph.
So while we’re not looking at swirling gusts or freezing temps, the rain alone could be enough to force both teams to adjust their game plans.
What This Means for the Game - and Fantasy Football
Let’s be real - this kind of weather is a quarterback’s worst nightmare. A soaked football is harder to grip, tougher to throw with accuracy, and even more difficult for receivers to haul in. Don’t be surprised if we see more dropped passes, mistimed throws, and conservative play-calling through the air.
That spells potential trouble for fantasy managers relying on either passing game. Quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones (who's expected to see action for Indianapolis) could struggle to push the ball downfield.
Wideouts like Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Parker Washington, Brian Thomas Jr., and Jakobi Meyers may find it hard to get into rhythm. Tight ends Tyler Warren and Brenton Strange could also see their targets limited, especially if short-yardage plays are kept on the ground.
And don’t forget the kickers - Cam Little and Blake Grupe might be in for a rough day. Wet turf means slippery footing, and there’s always the risk of a botched hold or snap when the ball’s slick.
Ground Game Takes Center Stage
If there’s a silver lining for fantasy managers, it’s that this could be a running back’s dream. When the skies open up, teams tend to lean on the ground game - and both squads have the personnel to take advantage.
Jonathan Taylor is always a threat to break off a big run, and in these conditions, he could be the Colts’ best bet to control the tempo. On the other side, Travis Etienne is built for this kind of game - shifty, explosive, and capable of making defenders miss even on a muddy track. And don’t overlook Bhayshul Tuten, who could see increased touches if the Jaguars decide to go with a run-heavy approach.
Of course, with more carries comes more contact - and more chances for fumbles. Ball security will be critical, especially in a game with so much on the line in the division race.
Bottom Line
This isn’t just a battle for first place in the AFC South - it’s a test of grit, execution, and adaptability in the elements. The weather is going to be a factor from kickoff to the final whistle. Coaches will need to adjust, players will need to stay locked in, and fantasy managers should brace for some unpredictability.
In a game like this, the team that wins the line of scrimmage - and takes care of the football - is the one that walks away in control of the division. Rain or shine, buckle up. This one’s going to be a fight.