Colts Still Have An AFC South Problem After Much-Needed Win

Despite a crucial victory over the Texans, the Colts' path to AFC South dominance remains blocked by the surging Jaguars.

Week 3 gave the Indianapolis Colts something they badly needed: a win over the Houston Texans. It also made the AFC South picture a little clearer, and not necessarily in the Colts’ favor.

The Jacksonville Jaguars sit at 2-1 and remain in control of the division, while the Colts are the only other team in the South with a victory. Houston and Tennessee are both still looking for their first win.

The Colts’ result mattered because the alternative would have been a disastrous 0-3 start. Instead, they avoided that hole and kept themselves alive in the division race. But the Texans helped shape that outcome with offensive turnovers and poor quarterback play, which left the game there for Indianapolis to take.

Jacksonville’s win looked different. Trevor Lawrence didn’t need a 200-yard passing day to get it done, but he still threw three touchdowns and finished with a 100+ quarterback rating. That was enough to reinforce the Jaguars’ hold on the top spot in the AFC South.

For Indianapolis, the victory over Houston at least gives them a foothold. It also pushed the Texans to 0-3, and Tennessee joined them there after losing to the New York Giants.

The Titans were expected to be near the bottom before the season began, but Houston’s start is harder to explain. A shaky defense and a shaky C.J.

Stroud have left them winless, even though last year’s defense and a shaky Stroud might have produced a very different record.

That’s part of why the division still feels open, even with Jacksonville sitting on top. The Jaguars could have been beaten by the Denver Broncos in Week 2, and in hindsight that game may have gone differently than last season’s matchup would have suggested. Still, as Week 3 ends, Jacksonville and Lawrence have the clearest claim to being the team to beat in the AFC South.

The Colts, meanwhile, can at least point to the standings and see a path. If Houston keeps sliding, Indianapolis could end up with a real shot to chase Jacksonville, or at minimum secure the division’s second seed.

Their next two games should help tell that story, with Washington and Pittsburgh on deck before the Colts see the Jaguars in November. They also face the Titans in that stretch, which gives them a chance to build on this start.

For now, though, the Colts’ win is more about staying in the conversation than taking control. The Jaguars still hold the division, and the Colts’ truest test remains ahead. Even so, after a weekend where so much went sideways for the rest of the AFC South, Indianapolis at least has something solid to build on.

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