Pacers Hold The One Offseason Edge Colts Already Lost

The Pacers can look to the Colts' costly gamble as a cautionary tale for strategic team management.

The Pacers don’t have to look far to see how a rushed bet can backfire.

The Indianapolis Colts have already moved like a team convinced it can force the issue, handing Daniel Jones nearly 90 million dollars over the next two years while he comes back from an Achilles tear and sending two first-round picks to the New York Jets for cornerback Sauce Gardner. In NFL terms, that is a full-throttle swing.

In NBA terms, the draft capital involved makes it even heavier. Two firsts in football can be the equivalent of four in basketball, which puts the Colts squarely in the all-in lane.

The trouble is that the roster doesn’t really support that kind of confidence.

They are not close enough to justify the leap. Their quarterback finished with 19 touchdowns in 13 games and unraveled as the season did.

The team opened 8-2 and still missed the playoffs. The defense is getting older, and the offense still hasn’t proven itself.

That is a shaky foundation for a team acting like it is one move away.

It’s the kind of mistake a team makes when it lets a good start and some bad injury luck convince it the window is wider than it really is. The result is ugly: the Colts now face the strongest strength of schedule and do not have a first-round pick to use if Jones doesn’t work out.

That is exactly the kind of trap the Pacers need to avoid.

Indiana just finished a 19-win season without keeping its draft pick at the end of the year, then used that pick to fill a major need, much like the Colts did by going after Gardner. But the Pacers are not in the same corner. They still have room to think.

They do not need to rush into extending Haliburton right now. They do not need to burn through their three tradeable first-round picks before they know what this version of the team really is. They can hold those assets and let the roster tell them what comes next.

That’s the real advantage here: optionality.

If the team is bad, it can move veterans, reset, and rebuild around a new direction. If the team is good, it can push its chips in later. Either path stays open.

The Colts no longer have that luxury. The Pacers do. And that difference matters.

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Pacers Starting Five Is Earning Hype They Now Have To Justify

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Indiana has tried to give that core real support, adding Kelly Oubre Jr. and Larry Nance Jr. while also bringing in Zubac from the Clippers at the cost of a protected first-round pick. The praise is nice, but it also sets a clear standard for next season, because once a starting five gets talked about this prominently, the conversation shifts quickly from potential to proof. [Read more 🡒]