Pacers Have One Weak Link That Could Haunt A Playoff Run

Will Indiana's impressive starting lineup be enough to overcome their shaky bench depth and compete with the NBA's elite teams?

If you’re looking for the Pacers’ biggest strength, start with the first five. Indiana’s starting group belongs in the league’s top tier, and that much is easy to see when Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, and Ivica Zubac are joined by any two of Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, and Kelly Oubre Jr. That’s a lot of talent to stack on one floor, and there aren’t many teams that can say they match up with that kind of quality from top to bottom in the opening lineup.

The clubs that even belong in that discussion are the Philadelphia 76ers, the New York Knicks, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the San Antonio Spurs. On paper, Indiana can go punch for punch with those teams when the game starts. The problem shows up after that.

Depth is where the Pacers look thin. TJ McConnell, Obi Toppin, and one of those three wings give Indiana useful pieces, but it’s not a bench group that’s going to make opponents lose sleep. The talent is there, sure, but it doesn’t compare especially well with what the other contenders can bring off the bench.

Philadelphia can lean on capable complementary options in Dean Wade, Anfernee Simons, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, plus a complete wildcard in LaBaron Philon. San Antonio has veterans waiting to steady its young starters.

New York can throw out Jose Alvarado and a highly flexible mix of forwards and bigs. None of those teams are rolling out a parade of sixth-man superstars, but they do have more answers than Indiana does.

That matters over the course of a regular season. A team that can trust a 10-man rotation can stay fresher, test more lineup combinations, and head into the playoffs with more reps under its belt.

The Pacers may not get that luxury. They may have to choose between pushing their starters hard all season or entering the postseason worn down.

And that’s the bind.

Solving it through a trade is easier said than done. Indiana needs more than one thing from the bench situation: a creator, a backup big, and a wing defender.

Finding one player who checks all those boxes is hard enough. Trading for one is even harder, because that kind of player would cost more than the Pacers may want to surrender.

The archetype itself is rare, too. Indiana needs someone who can play from the two through the four, knock down shots, and defend with real bite.

Put another way, they may be hunting for another Aaron Nesmith/Pascal Siakam hybrid. That’s not a modest ask.

Conservatively, that’s a top-25 player in basketball.

So the more realistic path may be the bargain route: a buy-low second-draft swing on a talented player who hasn’t worked out somewhere else yet, but still has something left to unlock. Indiana may not be able to outspend the teams with deeper reserve units, but it can try to outwork the market.

Whether the answer comes through an established veteran or a developmental flier, the Pacers need one. They can match the best teams when the starters are on the floor.

The bigger question is whether they can survive the long haul with what comes after. That may end up defining their season.

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Zubac just picked up some league-wide validation from an unlikely source. Nikola Jokic recently singled him out as one of the toughest matchups in the NBA, a nod that says plenty about the kind of physicality Zubac brings every night and gives Pacers fans another reason to keep an eye on how he looks once he is back in regular action. [Read more 🡒]