Andrew Nembhard’s next season could end up telling a big part of the Indiana Pacers’ story.
After a 2025-26 campaign that turned into a breakout stretch for the 26-year-old guard, new expectations are already being set for what comes next in 2026-27. With Tyrese Haliburton set to take back his point guard role after missing time because of a torn Achilles suffered in Game 7 of the NBA Finals the year before, Nembhard’s role figures to shift again. That’s the big question hanging over Indiana: can he stay near last season’s level even when the ball isn’t exclusively in his hands?
Last season, Nembhard handled the full-time point guard responsibilities and delivered career-best production. In 57 games, he averaged 16.9 points, 7.7 assists, 2.8 rebounds, and 0.9 steals while shooting 44.2 percent from the field and 36.1 percent from three. It was the kind of leap that made it clear he had taken another step on both ends.
That’s why the projections for this season are so interesting. The numbers being floated for Nembhard are 16.5 points, 6.8 assists, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. If he lands anywhere close to that line, Indiana is in a strong spot.
The challenge, of course, is that Haliburton’s return changes the shape of the offense. In the 2024-25 season, with Haliburton running the backcourt, Nembhard’s output was much lighter: 10 points, five assists, 3.3 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game, with shooting splits of 45.8 percent from the floor and 29.1 percent from deep. That version of Nembhard still had value, but it was a different job entirely.
What makes this such a compelling setup is that Indiana could wind up with one of the NBA’s toughest backcourts to deal with. Haliburton and Nembhard are both proven playmakers, and both can score. Nembhard brings more of a defensive edge, but the pairing gives the Pacers real balance and real pressure on opposing defenses.
That’s why he looms as one of Indiana’s biggest X-factors this season. No one player can carry a team deep into the postseason by himself, but Nembhard is about as close as it gets to that kind of swing piece. If he keeps producing while Haliburton is back in the mix, the Pacers could be set up for another deep playoff run.
For Indiana, that’s the hope. And these projections would fit that plan perfectly.
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