The Indiana Hoosiers have crafted a fairy tale in college football, clinching their first national title with a thrilling 27-21 victory over Miami on January 19. At the heart of this historic triumph was quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who not only led his team to glory but also snagged the prestigious Heisman Trophy, marking a first for the program. His stellar performance has now catapulted him to the forefront of ESPN NFL Draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr.'s latest projections, despite a generally subdued quarterback class.
Mel Kiper Jr. has been singing Mendoza's praises, highlighting his impressive evolution as a player. "Fernando Mendoza went for 41 sacks at Cal in 2024, and he dramatically reduced that number to around 17 or 18 in the regular season.
What he needed to improve on, he did," Kiper noted. While Mendoza may not possess what some call "elite traits," Kiper argues that in this draft, Mendoza stands out as the top prospect, clearly separating himself from his peers, including Ty Simpson.
Mendoza's enhanced field vision and decision-making have been key to his rise. He’s shown patience, moving beyond his initial reads to find open targets, and when necessary, he’s not hesitated to use his legs to make plays. His determined fourth-down touchdown run in the CFP National Championship Game was a testament to his grit and skill, placing him among a select group of Heisman winners who also secured a national title.
In this year's draft class, which lacks the usual quarterback buzz, Mendoza's position is even more pronounced. Ty Simpson is the only other quarterback featured on Kiper's top-25 Big Board, underscoring Mendoza's advantage.
Mendoza's lone season at Indiana in 2025 was nothing short of spectacular, with career-highs in completion percentage (72%), passing yards (3,535), and passing touchdowns (41). He led the FBS in both passing touchdowns and QBR (90.3), while also setting personal bests with 276 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns.
The Las Vegas Raiders, holding the No. 1 pick, have several roster holes, notably on the offensive line and defense. However, quarterback remains a crucial need, and in a draft where few QBs are expected to go early, Mendoza's chances of being the top pick are strong if the Raiders choose to address that position.
As we inch closer to the draft on April 23, much can change. Yet, given Mendoza's remarkable improvements and standout performances at Indiana, it would be quite the shock if he isn't the first name called.