The Texans’ 2023 draft class is no longer just a promising group on paper. With C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. already locked in on extensions, the rest of that class is now heading into a season that will say plenty about who fits Houston’s long-term plans and who doesn’t.
That draft haul has already done a lot of heavy lifting for a team that has climbed back into relevance in the AFC. Houston’s 2023 class has started 231 of 459 possible games, a 50.3% start rate that stands as the best of any Texans draft class over the last decade.
The group’s value hasn’t come only from the headline names, either. The Day Three picks have given the Texans real production, with Henry To’oTo’o emerging as a starting linebacker and a strong partner for Azeez Al-Shaair, Jarrett Patterson logging 21 starts, and Xavier Hutchinson carving out a role as a reliable receiver who can block and help on special teams.
Still, the next step for this class is less about what they’ve already done and more about what they can prove before their rookie deals run out.
Jarrett Patterson may be facing the toughest road. He has been Houston’s emergency answer on the interior offensive line, but the Texans spent the offseason trading for, re-signing, signing, and drafting interior linemen.
They chased help at every turn, and Patterson appears to be the odd man out. The latest Rosterology has him projected to miss the cut, which would be a harsh outcome for a player who started five games last season.
The problem is that he put himself in that spot by not fully taking advantage of his chances.
Tank Dell is the most complicated name in the group. His rookie year flashed real upside before injury interrupted it, and his second season was derailed by a severe leg injury that wiped out all of 2025.
Now he enters the final year of his contract with a lot to sort out. Houston has also worked to replace and cushion the loss of Dell by drafting three receivers over the last two classes, and the offensive setup has changed while he’s been out.
The new coordinator and scheme lean on two-tight-end looks, which could shrink Dell’s opportunities even if he gets back on the field. That leaves a big question hanging over his future: if he returns and produces in 2026, will the Texans still want to reward him after the injuries he’s endured?
For now, Dell is the biggest X-factor on the offense.
Dylan Horton is in a very different spot, but he’s another player worth watching closely. He has never started a game and has only half a sack on his résumé, yet his role has grown every year.
He’s now the clear third defensive end behind an expensive and aging Danielle Hunter, and Houston plans to use him heavily to help manage the workload. That gives Horton a real chance to expand his value and push himself toward a strong second contract.
Xavier Hutchinson has also become useful in a specific way. He gives the Texans a physical presence behind Nico Collins and helps the offense keep its edge when the top receiver is out.
His size and toughness have kept him active, and he has been used between the numbers on slants and digs, the kind of routes that ask a receiver to win ugly yards. His two-touchdown game against Baltimore helped cement him as a fit in spread looks with four or five receivers on the field.
Even so, Hutchinson is not completely safe. Justin Watson still has a say in that receiver battle, and he could make things interesting if he works his way into the offense.
Both Watson and Hutchinson matter on special teams and as run blockers. Hutchinson may look like the favorite, but the former Super Bowl champion is not going away quietly.
If Hutchinson holds the job and turns in another steady year, he should be in line for a team-friendly deal as a depth piece.
And then there’s Stroud, whose season dwarfs everything else. His year may be the most important any Texans player has ever faced, because Houston’s future and financial approach are tied directly to what he does next.
He is currently the twenty-fifth-highest-paid quarterback, making far less than the top names at the position. If he performs like he did as a rookie, he moves into the fifty-million-per-year conversation.
If the results are less clear, Houston can wait and lean on the franchise tag. Either way, the franchise’s direction runs through him.
For the Texans, that’s where the whole class lands: some players trying to survive the roster squeeze, others trying to earn a second deal, and Stroud carrying the biggest burden of all. Only thing we can do is watch this season play out.
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