As the 2026 NFL offseason heats up, the Houston Texans find themselves in a unique position. With C.J.
Stroud firmly established as the franchise quarterback, Davis Mills stands out as one of the league's top backup options. But with Mills entering the final year of his contract, General Manager Nick Caserio faces a classic decision: hold on to a valuable insurance policy or trade him while his value is high.
Davis Mills: A Valuable Asset
In a league where quality quarterbacks are always in demand, Mills is a rare gem. At 27, he boasts 26 NFL starts and has proven he can manage a pro-style offense without excessive turnovers. His contract, a $6.3 million payout for 2026, might seem steep for a backup, but it’s a bargain for a bridge starter.
Trade Value and Potential Returns
Industry experts, including NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah, suggest Mills could fetch a mid-round draft pick, with a fourth-rounder as the floor. If a bidding war ensues, a third-round pick isn’t out of the question.
Potential Landing Spots for Mills
Several teams could benefit from Mills' stability:
- Miami Dolphins: With the likely departure of Tua Tagovailoa, the Dolphins need a reliable plan for 2026. Mills has a connection with new OC Bobby Slowik, who was his passing game coordinator in Houston.
- New York Jets: After a rocky season with Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor, the Jets seek a steady presence under center. With coach Aaron Glenn at the helm, Mills could provide the veteran stability they need.
- Minnesota Vikings: Looking for competition for J.J. McCarthy, the Vikings could use Mills as a grounded alternative to their current volatile options.
Should the Texans Trade Mills?
Trading Mills is a gamble. His ability to win games as a backup is a luxury that keeps the Texans' Super Bowl hopes alive, even if Stroud were to go down.
However, if the Dolphins or Jets offer a third-round pick, it might be too tempting for the Texans to resist. Cashing in on Mills' peak trade value could be the strategic move that allows Caserio to continue building around Stroud with elite talent.