Houston Faces A Big 12 Threat That Could Derail Everything

The Houston Cougars are gearing up for a pivotal showdown with Cincinnati as they aim to end a five-game losing streak and keep their Big 12 championship hopes alive.

The No. 17 Houston Cougars are back from their bye week and heading into a matchup with Cincinnati on Nov. 7 at TDECU Stadium that carries real weight for their Big 12 hopes.

Houston is also trying to end a rough stretch against the Bearcats. Cincinnati has taken the last five meetings, and the Cougars haven’t beaten them since 2016.

This one comes with a built-in comparison point, too. Both teams have already faced Texas Tech, but the results were very different. Cincinnati handled the Red Raiders 37-24, while Houston fell 28-26 after quarterback Conner Weigman tried to scramble into the end zone for a two-point conversion and came up short.

That Cincinnati win matters because Texas Tech was No. 8 at the time. It’s a clear sign the Bearcats can play with a team in Houston’s position, and the Cougars have to approach this like they’re facing a ranked opponent.

The biggest danger for Houston starts on the ground. Cincinnati ranks second in the Big 12 in rushing yards per game at 229.4, and running back Cole Tabb is the engine. He has 752 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, and he’s been rolling lately with three straight games of at least 100 yards and a touchdown.

His best outing came against Texas Tech, when he ran for 173 yards and a score.

Houston’s run defense has some work to do after Utah piled up more than 200 total rushing yards. The Cougars have dropped to No. 21 nationally against the run, allowing 100.5 yards per game.

Stopping Tabb is the assignment. If Houston lets him put up anything close to what he did against Texas Tech, the Cougars’ grip on the Big 12 race gets a lot looser.

Cincinnati can hurt teams through the air, too. Quarterback JC French IV has thrown for 1,773 yards and 13 touchdowns while completing 67% of his passes. His biggest statistical game came against West Virginia, when he passed for 389 yards and three touchdowns.

Houston’s pass defense has not been nearly as sturdy, allowing 257.4 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the conference. That means the Cougars need the back end to hold up if the front seven does its job against the run.

There is a turnover opportunity here as well. French has thrown three interceptions over the last two games, so if Houston can slow Tabb and force Cincinnati into passing situations, chances should open up.

The Cougars have four regular-season games left: Cincinnati, Colorado, West Virginia and Baylor. The next two weeks are especially tricky, with road trips to Colorado and West Virginia following this one.

A win Saturday would do more than break Cincinnati’s streak. It would keep Houston on track for the conference championship game.

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