The Astros can’t keep pretending the pitching problems are temporary. The core issue has been the same for two seasons now: this staff needs a full rebuild, not a tweak.
Start with the rotation, because that’s where the whole thing has to be anchored. Hunter Brown is part of the answer.
So is Cristian Javier, if the late-season version of him holds up and the health cooperates. Brown logged 107.1 innings with a 3.19 ERA, while Javier got only 63 innings and finished at 5.14 ERA, though he did sharpen up in September with a 1.96 mark.
Hayden Wesneski and Peter Lambert also belong in the conversation for 2027.
Lambert, in particular, was one of the stranger and more important stories of the season. He led the Astros in wins with 8, innings with 155.2, starts with 29, strikeouts with 154 and pitching WAR at 3.1.
He came in as a castoff signing, got released after Spring Training, returned on a minor league deal and then was called up on April 17. For much of the year, he was basically the rotation’s emergency brake.
Nobody saw that coming, least of all Lambert.
Beyond those four, the Astros have some fascinating but risky arms to sort through. Mike Burrows, Ronel Blanco and Tatsuya Imai all fall into the “what if” category, and all three should be spending plenty of time with Brent Strom before and after the upcoming lockout.
If any of them don’t want to put in that work, the message should be simple: move on. Ethan Pecko is another name to keep in the mix, though he sounds more like a longer-term possibility unless the spring breaks just right and the market doesn’t give Houston a veteran answer.
That veteran answer matters. The Astros don’t necessarily need an ace, because aces cost a fortune, but they do need somebody proven and dependable.
The names on the board include Michael King, Clay Holmes, Tyler Mahle and Shota Imanaga. Imanaga stands out not just because he’s a left-handed starter who can help stabilize things, but because his presence could also help Imai.
Imai reportedly struggled when he didn’t have teammates to connect with, and that isolation affected his adjustment to American life. Imanaga could solve two problems at once, especially since Imai’s stuff was never the issue.
The bullpen is just as messy, even with Josh Hader locked in as the closer. Hader was absolute nails, and Houston will need him to keep doing exactly that. After him, the picture gets complicated fast.
AJ Blubaugh appears headed for a relief role, and the numbers suggest that’s the right lane for him. At least one starter who misses the rotation should also slide into the swingman or long-relief job, which would give the Astros three bullpen spots accounted for.
From there, the free-agent list gets tricky. Bryan Abreu, Steven Okert and Enyel De Los Santos are all free agents, and Okert looks like the one most likely to come back after establishing himself in the “stopper” role for Joe Espada. He proved he could enter in any inning and shut things down, which gives Houston a useful fourth reliever.
Bryan King is a different case. His second half was disastrous enough to make him a non-tender candidate, though the club could still bring him back on a minor league deal and try to get him straightened out in Sugar Land.
He was a quality leverage arm for two and a half seasons before everything unraveled, so the talent is still there. He just shouldn’t be penciled into the opening bullpen.
Miguel Ullola also deserves a real look. His command has improved since moving to the bullpen, and the velocity still plays.
He needs to keep the ball in the park, but the profile fits middle relief, with the chance to stretch into multi-inning work when necessary. Roddery Munoz, the team’s Rule V pick from last season, should get a shot too after a strong year at Triple-A, and Logan VanWey deserves a look after pitching much better in the majors this season.
A healthy Kai-Wei Teng should be in that mix as well.
Even with those internal options, Houston still needs a true bridge to Hader. That’s the spot where the bullpen has to be fortified.
Adrian Morejon would fit beautifully, though he would cost real money and likely a multi-year deal because of his age and success; he will be 28 in February. Kirby Yates is another possibility, especially after being effective in his age-39 season in 2026.
This is one of those places where the Astros have to prioritize quality over thrift.
Crane has shown he understands the importance of locking down the back end of a game, even if the organization has stumbled in the past with decisions like the Rafael Montero deal and rejecting the Abreu trade. Rebuilding that bridge to Hader has to be a serious priority.
If Houston wants this staff back in shape, the shopping list is clear: one established No. 2 or No. 3 starter, a legitimate eighth-inning reliever, plus at least one depth starter with major league experience and one depth reliever who can handle middle innings. That’s the blueprint.
In Other News...
Astros Trade Looks Different After What Pittsburgh Got Out Of It
The trade that sent Brandon Lowe, Mason Montgomery and Jake Mangum to Pittsburgh is starting to look a lot different now that the Pirates have had time to sort through what they got. Lowe brought the biggest name value, coming off a season with 35 home runs and better work in the field, while Montgomery quickly established himself as a late-inning weapon with 18 saves down the stretch. Mangum, meanwhile, filled in as useful center field depth when injuries piled up.
For Houston, the deal was always going to be judged in part by how the other side fit together, and Pittsburgh has clearly gotten production from all three pieces. Lowe is headed for free agency, which only adds another layer to how the move is viewed, but Montgomery is the real long-term piece here since he remains under team control through 2030. That gives the Pirates a different kind of value than a one-season rental, and it is the sort of return that can change the way a trade is remembered. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Face One Obvious Option Call And One Tougher Choice
With the Astros still operating without a general manager, one of the first offseason decisions on the table is straightforward enough: whether to pick up Isaac Paredes club option for 2027. After a strong 2026 season in which he hit 25 homers and batted .262, the third baseman looks like the kind of productive everyday piece Houston would prefer to keep in place, especially at a $13.4 million price point that sits well below what that kind of output usually costs on the market.
The tougher call comes with right-hander Ryan Weiss, whose $5 million option asks Houston to decide whether there is enough upside to justify more runway. Weiss struggled with a high ERA and WHIP at both the major league and minor league levels, which makes the choice less about certainty than about whether the Astros see a rebound worth investing in. For a club trying to sort out its next steps without a front office leader in place, the contrast between those two options says plenty about how much work still needs to be done. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Left Field Problem Looks Even Worse After One Former Move
The Astros left field search never really found an answer this season, and Dustin Harris ended up becoming another reminder of how unsettled that spot was. After brief stints with the White Sox and Houston, the outfielder resurfaced with San Diego and looked much more comfortable there, flashing better all-around play while giving the Padres another useful option in a crowded outfield mix.
What makes it sting for Houston is not just that Harris settled in elsewhere, but that his improvement came while the Astros continued to cycle through possibilities and never solidify the position. San Diego benefited from the depth, Houston did not, and the gap showed up in the standings as the Astros fell short of the playoffs with left field still lingering as one of the rosters biggest unresolved issues. [Read more 🡒]