The Astros may have stumbled into one of their best trade assets without even meaning to.
As Houston keeps hanging around in a crowded, underwhelming American League race, the direction at the deadline is starting to look obvious: buyers. The catch is just as obvious. With one of the weakest farm systems in the game, the Astros don’t exactly have a deep stash of prospects to go shopping with.
That leaves Dana Brown in a tough spot. Houston still needs a left-handed hitting outfielder after last year’s answer, Jesús Sánchez, and the offseason reunion with Joey Loperfido has fallen flat.
The rotation could use another arm, and every contender can always find room for bullpen help. That’s a lot to ask from a thin trade chest.
One possible answer has surfaced in AJ Blubaugh.
Reports say the 26-year-old reliever has become a sought-after name around the league, and it makes sense. He brings the kind of appeal that gets attention: a young pitcher with plenty of team control and a background as a minor league starter, which could make him especially attractive to clubs looking for rotation help rather than bullpen depth.
Blubaugh’s value has only grown this season. He was already a useful piece last year, when he posted a 1.69 ERA and looked like he could have been a real postseason weapon if Houston had gotten there. Instead, he’s taken another step forward in 2024 and become a legitimate multi-inning option for Joe Espada.
Entering action on July 6, Blubaugh had made 34 appearances and thrown an MLB-leading 56 1/3 innings while putting up a 3.36 ERA. His season wasn’t clean from the jump, either. He opened with a 5.89 ERA in the first month, but since May 1 he has been much sharper, with that number falling to 2.13.
That’s what makes this so tricky for Houston. The bullpen has been a big part of the club’s June turnaround, and Blubaugh has been right in the middle of it. Moving him would mean giving up a pitcher who has helped stabilize things when the Astros needed it most.
Still, there’s a case for selling high if the return is right. If Brown can turn Blubaugh into a larger piece with a bigger short-term impact, while also preserving what little flexibility the organization has left, the Astros could come out ahead.
But this can’t be a move made just to make one. Brown has to be selective and aim high.
Trading Blubaugh for a similar player at another position probably doesn’t change much. If Houston is going to part with a controllable young arm like this, it needs to bring back a veteran who can matter right away.
If the Astros get that kind of return, the deal could help solve more than one problem. If they don’t, it could become the kind of mistake that hurts both this year’s playoff push and the organization’s longer-term outlook.
In Other News...
Astros Already See Cubs Tucker Trade Return As Core Piece
Cam Smiths first season in Houston has been enough to push his name into a different kind of conversation, one that usually comes only after a young player has shown he belongs. The outfielder has given the Astros a reason to believe the return from the Kyle Tucker trade can be more than just a useful piece, with his production and all-around value making him look like part of the clubs longer-term core.
That is why one MLB executive has already floated the idea of Houston exploring a long-term extension sooner rather than later, even though there is no immediate deadline to do anything. The appeal is obvious: lock in a promising young bat before the price climbs. The risk is just as clear, especially for a front office that has seen how quickly these situations can turn if a deal never quite comes together. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Suddenly Have A New Deadline Threat In The Mix
The trade deadline usually brings the Miami Marlins into the market as a seller, but this season has taken an unexpected turn. After a strong recent run, Miami is now being discussed as a buyer, and Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reported that the club has identified third base, a back-end starter and a high-leverage reliever as the main areas it wants to address.
For an Astros team that is always watching the market closely, that matters because a club that once seemed likely to move pieces could now be hunting for them instead. Rosenthal also noted the Marlins may be willing to deal from the major-league roster to avoid dipping too far into the farm system, which adds another layer to a deadline picture that is still developing and could shift quickly as the market comes into focus. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Make Quick Infield Move That Leaves Braden Shewmake In Limbo
Jeremy Pea is back on the active roster, and the Astros made the corresponding infield move by designating Braden Shewmake for assignment. It is the kind of transaction that can happen quickly in the middle of a season, but it leaves a player like Shewmake in a difficult spot after he had only just worked his way back onto the roster.
Shewmake had recently returned from an adductor strain and was back for only two games before Houston moved on again. The clock is now ticking on what comes next, with the Astros having five days to work out a trade or send him through waivers, while Shewmake also has the option to reject a minor league assignment and test free agency. [Read more 🡒]
