The Astros’ bullpen formula has been strange all year, and on Friday night it finally cracked in a way that felt hard to ignore.
Houston has leaned on a left-handed-heavy relief mix and still managed to post baseball’s fourth-lowest bullpen ERA since May 1. It has worked often enough to hide a lot of the club’s other issues, and the results have been there: the Astros won 34 of their first 36 games when they led after seven innings. But against the Orioles, that approach ran into a matchup it couldn’t dodge.
Taylor Ward changed the game with one swing in the eighth inning, launching a go-ahead two-run home run that sent Houston to a 3-2 loss in Baltimore. The blast came off Bryan King, the mustached Rule 5 pick who has become a bullpen fixture and had been excellent against right-handed hitters for most of the season.
Since debuting in 2024, righties had posted a .628 OPS against him. This year, he hadn’t allowed a home run to a right-handed batter in his first 38 appearances.
Then Ward made it four homers allowed to right-handed hitters in King’s last three outings.
That’s the kind of stretch that can happen to relievers, the most volatile players on the field. But for the Astros, it also sharpened a bigger problem.
The trade deadline is 16 days away, and Houston already needs help in the outfield and in the rotation. A dependable right-handed leverage arm is climbing that list fast.
Friday showed why.
The Astros had six right-handed relievers available in the bullpen, but manager Joe Espada clearly doesn’t trust that group in the biggest spots. He has shown a willingness to ride the hot hand, and King was the choice in the eighth after Steven Okert handled the bottom of the Orioles’ order in the seventh and Enyel De Los Santos had already started to stir.
The issue is that Houston’s right-handed relief corps entered Friday with a 4.84 ERA, a mark that ranked among the worst in the majors. King had been the exception, carrying a 2.03 ERA through his first 38 outings. But the overall group has been shaky enough that Espada has kept leaning on his lefties, even when the matchup starts to look awkward.
That wasn’t the original plan. Before spring training, King and Okert looked like the kind of left-handed firemen who could handle the toughest pockets of a game, with Bryan Abreu set up in front of Josh Hader.
Instead, Abreu’s season-long slide has thrown the whole structure off. His 5.81 ERA and 1.67 WHIP have made him close to unusable in tight games, and Nate Pearson’s strike-throwing issues haven’t helped.
AJ Blubaugh and Cristian Javier have also been asked to cover multiple innings after shortened starts.
Abreu has at least shown a little life lately. His four-seam fastball has averaged at least 96.5 mph in five of his last seven outings, and he has walked only four batters over his past 12 1/3 innings while striking out 17. That may be enough to make him worth another look in leverage work.
De Los Santos had seemed like another answer earlier in the year, but 12 earned runs over his last 17 2/3 innings knocked him out of that role. Even so, he has still made the second-most appearances on the team.
That leaves Okert and King, two left-handers who have done a better job than most of their peers against right-handed hitters. Righties have a .600 OPS against Okert this season, and they’re slugging .350 against King in his career.
So using King in the eighth wasn’t some reckless decision. Adley Rutschmann, who led off the inning, is a switch-hitter with a .688 OPS batting right-handed, compared with .807 from the left side.
Pete Alonso, who followed Ward in Baltimore’s order, entered Friday with an OPS 198 points lower against left-handed pitching than against righties.
Ward was the real danger. He came into the night slugging .451 with an .891 OPS in 118 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, and that kind of production helps explain why opponents usually try to avoid that matchup altogether.
Asked whether he considered going to a right-handed reliever in the eighth, Espada said “no.”
That answer fits the way he has managed all season. But with the Astros now five games under .500 and still searching for answers, it also says plenty about how thin the margin has become.
In Other News...
Dana Brown Just Sent Astros Fans A Trade Deadline Message
Houstons front office has already made one move, but Dana Brown made it clear the work is not done. After sending Lance McCullers Jr. and Colton Gordon to Milwaukee, the Astros created room on the roster and added some flexibility as they wait on injured pitchers to work their way back, a sign the deadline plan is still very much in motion.
Brown said the club is still looking to improve and is focused on adding a left-handed bat before the Aug. 3 deadline. Houston also wants to see how its returning pitchers look before making its next call, with Ronel Blanco expected back soon and Hayden Wesneski needing a little more rehab time, leaving the Astros with a few moving parts to sort through in the final stretch. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Deadline Fix For Familiar Lineup Problem Feels Riskier Than Ever
The Astros have spent much of the season trying to solve the same problem that keeps surfacing every deadline: finding a left-handed hitting outfielder who can actually help the lineup without forcing the front office into a corner. It is a difficult search even before you get to the market, because Houston does not have much in the way of payroll wiggle room or prospect capital to make a clean upgrade.
Jung Hoo Lee would bring the kind of bat that would make the fit easier to imagine, but the cost likely pushes him out of reach. That leaves the Astros looking at cheaper alternatives and trying to balance affordability against real lineup value, with only a small amount of savings from the Lance McCullers Jr. trade to work with if they want to avoid crossing the luxury tax line. [Read more 🡒]