AJ Blubaugh has turned into one of the Astros’ most useful arms, and that reality is starting to ripple into Houston’s trade-deadline conversations.
The right-hander, who came up as a starter before settling into the bullpen, has been a steadying force in his first major-league season. He has covered innings, bailed out trouble, and kept Houston’s offense in striking distance when games threatened to slip away. According to Baseball Savant, his pitching run value matches that of $95 million closer Josh Hader, even if the attention never comes close to being equal.
Now, that usefulness is creating real intrigue. Multiple people with knowledge of the Astros’ talks said Blubaugh has drawn interest as Houston discusses possible deals with other clubs.
Nothing is believed to be close, but his name being part of the conversation says plenty about where the Astros stand ahead of Aug. 3.
General manager Dana Brown’s list of needs includes a left-handed-hitting outfielder, a right-handed reliever and, with the rotation’s recent struggles, possibly a starting pitcher too. With one of the game’s weakest farm systems, filling all of that without giving up something meaningful would be a tough ask. Blubaugh fits the kind of player a contender often has to move: young, controllable and already showing he can help in the majors.
The Astros have been down this road before. In 2023, Brown used Jake Bloss and Joey Loperfido in the package that brought Yusei Kikuchi over from the Blue Jays.
Both were rookies and both had contributed, but neither was locked in as a core piece. Blubaugh’s situation feels similar enough to make him a logical chip if Houston needs to upgrade.
His appeal is easy to see. Blubaugh will turn 26 on Saturday and has five seasons of team control left.
Two of those seasons will come at the league minimum. That kind of cost-controlled pitching is gold for every front office.
And he has backed up the profile with production. In Wednesday night’s 8-3 loss to the Minnesota Twins, Blubaugh threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings, pushing his ERA down to 3.36 over 56 1/3 innings.
No major-league reliever has thrown more. His four-seam fastball reached 98.4 mph, seven of the 10 Twins he faced were greeted with first-pitch strikes, and of the three hitters who reached against him, only one advanced past first base.
The recent run has been even better. Blubaugh has given up one earned run over his last 17 2/3 innings, and he hasn’t allowed multiple runs in an outing since May 24.
Since that rough April 8 trip to Coors Field, when he gave up five earned runs, he has posted a 2.06 ERA. Only 10 American League relievers have been better over that span.
He has also handled a heavy workload. Eighteen of his 34 appearances have lasted two or more innings, and 10 of those have been scoreless. Only Washington’s Brad Lord has 10 scoreless outings of at least two innings among major-league relievers.
That kind of versatility has made Blubaugh nearly indispensable for a Houston club trying to hang around in the American League playoff chase. But the Astros also have other bullpen options, which is part of why his name is coming up.
Cristian Javier, the $64 million extension signing, is headed to the bullpen Friday. Rookie Miguel Ullola is already there, and he too is a converted starter with five years of team control.
Ronel Blanco and Hayden Wesneski are expected back in the second half after Tommy John surgery. Alimber Santa, meanwhile, is at Triple-A Sugar Land and has already worked more than one inning in five of his eight big-league outings this year.
That may look like depth on paper, but pitching staffs rarely stay neat for long. It also helps explain why the Astros are listening on other bullpen arms. Blubaugh’s blend of performance and control may simply make him the most valuable one they have to shop.
Brown now has to decide how much that value is worth to a team trying to stay afloat.
In Other News...
Astros Outfield Hope Just Landed A Huge National Honor
The Astros have another reason to keep a close eye on their farm system this summer, and it comes with some national shine. Houston announced that one of its top young talents will represent the organization on the American League roster in the MLB Futures Game on July 12 at Citizens Bank Park, a showcase that has long served as a stage for the games most promising minor leaguers.
At just 18 and already holding his own at Single-A, Kevin Alvarez has started to build a case as one of the more intriguing names in the Houston system. He is batting .266 with six home runs and 30 RBIs, and he has climbed to No. 70 on MLBs prospect rankings, a reminder that the Astros may be looking at a future answer in the outfield even if that timeline is still unfolding. [Read more 🡒]
Astros Pitching Depth Takes Another Hit At The Worst Time
Houstons pitching depth has taken another hit at a time when every arm matters, with Kai-Wei Teng landing on the injured list after a recent stretch that had already raised concerns. The right-hander had been struggling on the mound, and the move offers some explanation for why his performance had slipped as the Astros tried to piece together enough dependable innings.
Tengs latest stint in the organization has also carried an unusual procedural wrinkle, since the club had initially sent him to Triple-A Sugar Land before this latest development changed the picture. Houston has not yet announced a corresponding roster move, leaving one more open question for a staff that could hardly afford another one. [Read more 🡒]