Astros Face A Tough Rotation Question With Mike Burrows Waiting

As the Astros opt for Ronel Blanco over the promising Mike Burrows amidst roster expansion, questions arise regarding this surprising pitching decision.

September 1 brings the roster expansion every MLB club gets to use, and for the Astros that usually means one extra pitcher and one extra position player joining the mix. The expectation around the club had been pretty straightforward: Mike Burrows would be the arm getting the call.

Burrows is lined up to pitch on five days’ rest today, which would have made him available to start against the Chicago White Sox. At Triple-A Sugar Land, he has been trending in the right direction lately, giving up just 3 earned runs over 13.1 innings while striking out 15.

Even though he hasn’t made it through five full innings in any of his starts - his outings have gone 4.1, 4.2, and 4.1 innings - the overall production has still been encouraging. Over those 13.1 innings, he has allowed only 11 hits and 5 walks.

The only two home runs he gave up came in Las Vegas, in a game played in 104-degree heat at a park that is already known as a launching pad in the very hitter-friendly PCL.

Instead, Ronel Blanco is the name that has surfaced, and that choice raises obvious questions. Blanco has been in rough shape since coming back from Tommy John surgery, and his issues didn’t stop after his August 16 demotion to Triple-A.

In his most recent outing, which came after Burrows’ latest start in Vegas, Blanco was hit hard for 10 earned runs in just 2.1 innings. He gave up three home runs, and his four-seam velocity fell to 91.1 mph.

That kind of drop should be a major warning sign for the Astros’ front office. Pushing a pitcher through a clear velocity decline rarely ends well, and the source of concern is impossible to ignore given what happened last season with Luis Garcia. Houston kept running Garcia out there despite an obvious velocity dip, publicly suggested the stuff would come back, and Garcia ultimately needed another surgery.

Against that backdrop, sending Blanco back out after a disaster like that makes little sense. Rewarding a pitcher for allowing 10 earned runs in 2.1 innings is hard to square, and there is no real case to be made that Blanco is the better option than Burrows right now. The roster move should be about putting the best arm in the best spot, and on the evidence available here, Burrows is the clear choice.

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