Packers Open Against A Vikings Team That Still Brings Familiar Trouble

Despite key changes in personnel and coaching strategies, the enduring rivalry between the Packers and Vikings remains poised to deliver familiar challenges in their upcoming Week 1 showdown.

For the Packers, Week 1 brings a Vikings team that looks different on the surface but still feels familiar underneath.

Minnesota has gone through another quarterback reset, and that part of the story hardly needs much explanation at this point. Since Kevin O’Connell arrived, the position has been in constant motion.

The latest name in the mix is Kyler Murray, who gives the Vikings a better chance than J.J. McCarthy, Max Brosmer, and the mess they got from the position a year ago.

But a big leap from there to “explosive offense” just isn’t supported by what this team has actually done.

That’s true even with Justin Jefferson doing Justin Jefferson things. Going back to the 2022 season, the Vikings’ offenses have finished 29th, 15th, 23rd, and 20th in DVOA.

Even in 2024, when Sam Darnold revived his career, Minnesota still landed in the middle of the pack. Murray’s own numbers don’t exactly scream breakout either; in that same span, he ranks 25th in EPA/play, just ahead of Mason Rudolph.

So yes, Murray should be an upgrade over what Minnesota rolled out last year. No, that doesn’t mean the Vikings are suddenly built to light up the scoreboard. If anything, an ordinary offense might be enough when paired with the defense Brian Flores keeps squeezing for every last drop.

Flores remains the real engine here. Minnesota’s defensive DVOA ranks under his watch have been 3rd, 2nd, 11th, and 24th through 2022, and he’s done it without an elite player at every level of the unit.

Harrison Smith is still around, even if he hasn’t been in his prime for half a decade. He’s still smart and still dangerous, which counts for plenty.

The front, though, has taken hits. Jonathan Greenard is now in Philadelphia after an offseason trade, and the team also let Jonathan Allen and new Packers defensive tackle Javon Hargrave walk.

That leaves the Vikings depending on two rookies and a collection of younger, unproven players to help patch things together up front. Byron Murphy is still a key piece in the secondary, but beyond him there are real questions at corner.

Flores has been able to paper over a lot of those issues by disguising coverage and blitzing more aggressively than anyone else in the league. The Packers have seen versions of that before.

Jordan Love was the NFL’s best quarterback against the blitz last season, and he did it behind a below-average offensive line. When Minnesota leaned more heavily on man coverage in the second meeting last year, it caught Green Bay off guard.

But the matchup looks different now. In 2025, the Packers were one of the league’s best offenses against man coverage, and Tucker Kraft was one of the best players in the NFL against man last season before he got hurt.

That’s the push and pull heading into Week 1: the Vikings’ identity is still there, Flores is still pulling the strings, and the Packers are better equipped to answer it than they were a year ago.

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