The Packers have steadied themselves after a rocky start, but oddsmakers still aren’t ready to treat Green Bay like a serious Super Bowl LXI threat.
Matt LaFleur’s team opened the 2026 season by blowing a big lead in a loss to the Minnesota Vikings, then needed overtime to squeeze past the New York Jets 20-17 for its first win. A few days later, the Falcons punched back with an embarrassing Thursday night loss to start Week 3.
Since then, though, Green Bay has found its rhythm. The Packers have won three straight, edging the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4, hammering the rival Chicago Bears in Week 5, and beating the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night to move to 4-2. That has Green Bay in second place in the NFC North behind the undefeated Vikings, with Chicago also sitting at 4-2 but trailing the Packers because of the head-to-head result.
Even with that recovery, the betting markets aren’t convinced. In the latest Super Bowl LXI odds, Green Bay is tied for 14th overall at +3000, sharing that spot with the Houston Texans. That also leaves the Packers seventh among NFC teams.
The numbers are not exactly flattering inside the division, either. Chicago is ahead of Green Bay at +1500, Minnesota sits at +1800, and Detroit is at +2500. The Packers will see the Lions next Sunday, and in that same board, Green Bay remains behind all three NFC North rivals.
There’s also a small oddity in the conference prices: Chicago is listed with better Super Bowl odds than Minnesota, but the Vikings have +700 odds to win the NFC, while the Bears are at +790.
For the division race, Minnesota remains the clear favorite at +105. Chicago and Detroit are tied at +350, and Green Bay is last in the North at +530.
This is the latest snapshot in a running track of Packers futures that has steadily drifted in the wrong direction over the year. Right after the Seattle Seahawks’ Super Bowl LX win over the New England Patriots, Green Bay was tied for seventh overall and tied for fourth in the NFC at +1400.
After the first wave of free agency in March, the Packers slipped slightly to +1500, but moved up to tied for fifth overall and solo third in the NFC. Following the draft in April, they dropped to +1600, still good for a tie for sixth overall and a tie for third in the conference.
Then just before Week 1, Green Bay fell to +2000, which pushed the team out of the top 10 for the first time and left it tied for 13th overall and solo sixth in the NFC.
Now the Packers are in their worst position yet on the board. But with 12 weeks left, that can change quickly if Green Bay keeps stacking wins.
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