Warriors Trade Debate Starts With Which Assets Actually Matter

With the Golden State Warriors eyeing another championship run, the complexity of leveraging their assets-from seasoned veterans to future draft picks-presents both opportunities and challenges for the team's future strategy.

If the Golden State Warriors decide to swing a trade, the value they can put on the table starts with a simple reality: they don’t have much young talent to lean on. That makes their draft capital the real currency, and it pushes their most movable pieces into a pretty clear order.

Stephen Curry, even at 38, would still be the prize of the group in a pure trade-value sense. He’d fetch a better mix of picks and players than anyone else on the roster. But the Warriors have essentially made it clear they aren’t moving him unless he asks out, so he’s not part of the ranking.

That leaves a draft-pick-heavy list, with the Warriors’ own future first-rounders carrying a lot of weight. The team is expected to be past the Curry era in 2032, and there’s a real chance the bottom falls out then, even if Joe Lacob is determined to keep that from happening. For now, though, the Warriors seem locked into trying to contend for at least the next two seasons, which makes some of these picks more complicated than they look on paper.

The 2029-30 first-rounder stands out because Curry will be 41 when that season begins. That alone points toward a top-20 selection. There’s one wrinkle that would make the pick even juicier - if the team trading for it also got a 2031 first-rounder when the 2030 pick landed in the 21-30 range - but in this breakdown, the pick either conveys in the top 20 or nothing happens.

The 2030 to 2033 range is even murkier, though those picks are still more likely to land outside the lottery than the Warriors’ own earlier selections. Last year, the team said it was committed to contending and still finished 37-45, which is exactly why those future picks carry real intrigue even if Golden State is trying to stay afloat.

There’s also the 2027-30 stretch, which some teams would argue makes an unprotected first-round pick more valuable. But the case here is that Lendeborg could be worth more because of the kind of player he is and where he’s headed.

He’ll be 24 when he reaches the NBA, so teams will wonder how much developmental upside is left. That means his first NBA impressions matter a lot.

Still, the projection is that he outplays the usual return for an 11th pick and becomes especially appealing to contenders that want size and two-way production. If he hits right away, he’d also be cheap: his rookie deal is worth $28.1 million over four years.

Brandin Podziemski brings a different kind of value. The Warriors have to decide whether to extend his contract in the eligible window that ends on the eve of the regular season.

If they do, trading him gets much harder because of the CBA’s Poison Pill Provision. If they don’t, he becomes a much more interesting trade chip.

Podziemski gives teams shooting, rebounding and team defense. The concern is that he’s not a dynamic on-ball creator and he doesn’t have the athletic tools to handle the best ball-handlers. That divide is exactly why some teams may not value him highly, while others could look at him and see a player they can use restricted free agency on to land at a bargain price.

The same kind of team-dependent logic applies to swap rights. A title contender could see a swap with the Warriors as almost as valuable as an unprotected first-round pick, since moving from the high 20s to something much better can be a major win. A rebuilding team, on the other hand, would not view those rights nearly as highly.

Santos rounds out the group, and his contract is part of the appeal. He’s set to make $4.6 million this season and $5 million next season before a $5.4 million player option kicks in. Nearly every team would want his mix of positional size, scoring and hustle off the bench, and that deal should look like a bargain over the next two seasons.

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