The Golden State Warriors still have a path to a blockbuster run at LeBron James and Anthony Davis, even after locking in Kristaps Porziņģis on a two-year, $40 million deal.
The key development came when Draymond Green declined his $27.7 million player option for the 2026-27 season. That move opened the door for Golden State to structure a longer-term deal for Green at a lower annual figure, creating room to chase James at roughly $15 million per year through the non-taxpayer midlevel exception.
That plan got more complicated once the Porziņģis signing hit the books. Because the non-taxpayer midlevel exception only works if team salary stays under the first-apron line, the Warriors suddenly had to make the numbers work with far less flexibility. But according to salary-cap guru Yossi Goslan, who co-hosts the Third Apron podcast with CBS Sports' Sam Quinn, the math still checks out.
Golden State is currently $32.5 million below the first apron, with $176.5 million committed to Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, Porziņģis, Al Horford, Moses Moody, Brandon Podziemski, Gui Santos, Will Richard, first-round pick Yaxel Lendeborg and second-round pick Lajae Jones. Since teams must carry at least 14 players, the Warriors would need to add four more players while staying under that cushion.
If James came in at $15.1 million through the NTMLE, that would leave $17.4 million to split between Green and two veteran-minimum signings at $2.4 million apiece. In that setup, Green would land at a little more than $12 million in the first year, with 8% annual raises. A three-year deal worth around $40 million would fit.
There’s also a way for Golden State to create even more room, and Moody sits at the center of it. He’s due $12.5 million next season, though he’s not expected to play while recovering from a horrific knee injury. If the Warriors moved that money off the books - possibly by attaching a future draft pick to convince another team to take him into cap space - they could replace his spot with a veteran minimum deal and free up more than $10 million.
That extra breathing room would make Green’s deal much more comfortable.
Davis is easier from a salary standpoint. Golden State could trade Jimmy Butler’s $56.8 million next season for Davis’ $58.5 million, absorbing the additional $1.5 million and still staying within range. If Moody’s contract were also dumped without taking money back, the Warriors would have about $8.5 million more to offer Green in year one.
That would push Green close to $20 million annually, right in the neighborhood of Porziņģis’ new deal. From there, the rest of the plan would be straightforward on paper: move Moody, add the draft-pick sweetener if needed, swing the Davis trade, and use the NTMLE for James.
None of this is simple, of course. But the Warriors do have options.
James could even choose a lower salary - the source scenario floated $10 million next season - if Green wanted a bigger piece of the pie. Another possibility is a deal with a low first-year salary and a player option in Year 2, giving either star a chance to opt out and renegotiate next summer.
The larger point is that Golden State has not been priced out. The Porziņģis deal makes the puzzle tighter, but the Warriors clearly understood the numbers before moving ahead. Green’s opt-out and the timing of the Porziņģis signing suggest they knew exactly what it would take to keep the door open for James.
That doesn’t mean it happens. LeBron is reportedly meeting with the Lakers on Tuesday, and if Los Angeles offers more money than Golden State can, the whole chase disappears. But if that doesn’t happen, the Warriors are still in the mix for one of the most ambitious roster swings on the board.
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