NBA trade season is officially heating up, and with the deadline looming on February 5, the rumor mill is churning at full speed. Front offices are working the phones, contenders are eyeing upgrades, and a handful of names are emerging as the most likely to be on the move. According to Kalshi Sports, the odds are in-and they’re pointing to some intriguing possibilities.
Jonathan Kuminga: 60% chance of being dealt
At the top of the list is Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga, currently sitting with a 60 percent chance of being traded. Golden State has received consistent interest in the 21-year-old, and it’s not hard to see why.
Kuminga brings athleticism, defensive versatility, and untapped offensive upside-exactly the kind of player that could draw attention from both rebuilding teams and playoff hopefuls. But he also represents a key piece of the Warriors’ youth movement, which makes his situation a delicate balancing act.
Golden State is at a crossroads, and whether they lean into the present or future could determine Kuminga’s fate.
Daniel Gafford: 55% chance
Next up is Daniel Gafford, with a 55 percent chance of being moved. The Mavericks big man has drawn interest from multiple teams, and Dallas reportedly views him as its most tradable rotation piece.
Gafford’s rim protection and energy make him a valuable asset, especially for teams looking to shore up their interior defense. If the Mavs decide to tweak their roster around Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving, Gafford could be the first domino to fall.
Kyle Kuzma: 52% chance
Kyle Kuzma is hovering just above the 50/50 line, with a 52 percent chance of being traded. Milwaukee is reportedly kicking the tires on potential upgrades, and Kuzma’s name has surfaced in those discussions.
The Bucks are exploring ways to improve their wing depth and scoring punch, and while Kuzma’s contract isn’t exactly light, there’s a belief that attaching draft capital could help facilitate a deal. Nothing’s imminent yet, but Kuzma remains a name to watch.
Tyler Herro: 50% chance
Rounding out the top tier of trade candidates is Tyler Herro, sitting at an even 50 percent. Miami’s direction at the deadline could hinge on Herro’s health and availability.
When he’s on the floor, Herro is a dynamic scorer who can stretch the floor and create off the dribble-but his injury history complicates things. Rival teams are keeping tabs, and if the Heat decide to make a splash, Herro could be part of the package.
Let’s be clear: these odds aren’t guarantees-they’re pressure points. They’re indicators of where conversations are heading, not final decisions.
But with just days left before the deadline, the board is set to shift. Expect movement.
Expect surprises. And don’t be shocked if at least one of these names is wearing a new uniform come February 6.