The Warriors are looking for a way out of the Kristaps Porzingis situation, but the league’s new draft lottery reform is making that search a lot tougher.
In past seasons, a messy bottom tier of the standings would have been exactly the kind of market Golden State could exploit. Teams buried near the cellar often turned into sellers early, opening the door for clubs trying to make a deal. This year, that path looks far less reliable.
The reason is simple: the new lottery setup gives struggling teams a reason to stay competitive instead of tearing things down. That matters for the Warriors because the kind of trade partner they might have counted on before may no longer be eager to move veterans just to lean harder into the lottery.
There are already several teams whose seasons look shaky this early, including the Chicago Bulls, Utah Jazz, Sacramento Kings and Milwaukee Bucks, each of whom has won just one game. The New Orleans Pelicans also fit the picture after dropping four straight by a combined 107 points.
Under the old incentives, teams in that spot might have started selling off pieces. Now, the reform pushes them to keep trying to win enough games to avoid finishing in the bottom three of their conference.
That shift could leave Golden State with fewer obvious options, and maybe even the wrong kind of competition. According to The Stein Line’s Jake Fischer on Thursday, some struggling teams may already be exploring upgrades instead of preparing to sell.
“Will everybody be buyers at the trade deadline?” one Western Conference executive wondered to Fischer. “The executive then added that it’s his sense that various struggling teams have already begun looking for upgrades in exploratory discussions and are doing so earlier on the calendar than such calls are usually made,” Fischer wrote.
That leaves the Warriors with a narrower lane. Instead of targeting the teams at the bottom of the standings, their best chance of moving Porzingis may come from clubs that are underachieving but also carrying heavy payrolls.
The Phoenix Suns and perhaps most notably the Orlando Magic fit that description, with both teams sitting multiple games below .500 while also being above the tax.
For Golden State, that makes the Porzingis market a tricky one to navigate. The lottery reform has changed the math for the league’s weakest teams, and that change could make the Warriors’ search for a deal more complicated in the weeks ahead.
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