Georgia Tech’s season has already veered off the path the Yellow Jackets needed, and ESPN’s Football Power Index doesn’t do much to soften the blow. At 2-4 heading into homecoming against Boston College, Brent Key’s team is staring at a stretch run that looks much harsher than it did in August.
The season was supposed to be built around getting through the early slate and cashing in on the games that looked there for the taking. Once the schedule rolled into a road trip at Virginia Tech, the margin for error tightened.
To put themselves in position for a fourth straight bowl under Key, Georgia Tech had to bank wins against Colorado and Stanford. Instead, both slipped away, and the Jackets now find themselves trying to recover from a hole they never wanted to dig.
Boston College is next, and this one has become more dangerous than it might have seemed before the season. The Eagles were picked to be one of the weaker teams in the Power Four, but they’ve been far more competitive than expected.
They come in at 3-3 after knocking off Pittsburgh, and they’re no easy date for Georgia Tech. FPI still gives the Yellow Jackets the edge on Saturday, though that number has been trending down as Georgia Tech has underperformed and Boston College has outplayed expectations.
Bill O’Brien’s group should treat this as a real chance to move closer to bowl eligibility.
The rest of the schedule doesn’t offer much comfort. The trip to Pittsburgh has changed shape because of the injury to Ptt quarterback Mason Heintschel, who is out for the season.
The Panthers have already turned to multiple quarterbacks since then, but that doesn’t automatically turn the road game into a sure thing for Georgia Tech. The Jackets are 0-2 away from home this season, and FPI’s view of that matchup reflects the uncertainty.
Louisville is still hanging around the ACC conversation and wants back into the picture, but there’s a steep climb ahead. The Cardinals have plenty of offensive talent, and Georgia Tech’s defense hasn’t shown it can consistently handle even an average attack. That matchup could force the Jackets into one of two uncomfortable paths: either the defense has to rise well above its usual level, or Georgia Tech has to win a shootout.
Clemson is another game that still carries weight, even if the Tigers are not the same machine they’ve been in past years. Georgia Tech has not won in Death Valley since 2008, and while Clemson has been trending downward, the defense remains strong.
The offense, though, has been among the worst in the conference. That makes this one a clash of strengths and weaknesses, with Clemson’s offense against Georgia Tech’s defense likely to decide it.
Wake Forest looks even tougher on paper. No ACC team has beaten expectations quite like the Demon Deacons, who are 6-1 and in the mix for both a College Football Playoff spot and an ACC Championship berth.
They’ve rolled through their last three games by scores of 57-3, 38-14, and 41-7, and they’re peaking on both sides of the ball. That’s a tough assignment for Georgia Tech no matter how you slice it.
Then comes Georgia, and even with the Bulldogs stumbling as a huge favorite against Auburn, FPI still gives Georgia Tech almost no shot to finally end the long losing streak in the rivalry. The Jackets have kept the last three meetings close, but the projection stays firmly against them.
Taken together, it’s a rough outlook for a team that probably could have absorbed a small step back. Missing out on Colorado and Stanford, then fading out of a wide-open ACC race, is a different story entirely. For Georgia Tech fans, FPI’s forecast is the kind of result that leaves little room for optimism.
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