Why Missouri Poses A Real Threat To Georgia Again

Missouri faces challenges against top-tier teams and struggles in the red zone, posing concerns ahead of their clash with Georgia.

There’s plenty to like about Missouri, and there’s plenty that should keep Georgia’s attention when the Tigers come into Vaught-Hemingway.

Start with the part that doesn’t scare you. Missouri’s offense is built around balance, and they do lean on the run more than most teams.

The numbers back that up: they run it 51% of the time and throw it 49%. But the passing game still produces almost two-thirds of their yardage, which tells you this isn’t some old-school, grind-it-out operation that just bludgeons people into submission.

They do have a 1,000-yard back already in Jamal Roberts, but the overall production still doesn’t look elite snap to snap, and it comes in at almost 1.5 yards per attempt less than what Georgia puts on the field.

There’s also the question of how proven Missouri really is. The stat that stands out is that they haven’t beaten a top 25 team as currently ranked.

They did hammer Florida, but that came before the smoke and mirrors Jon Sumrall deployed had been removed from the equation. Their loss to Mississippi State was close, though that came with a healthy Kamario Taylor.

They’ve also beaten Arkansas and Texas A&M, but who hasn’t? And while there’s some room to complain about the officiating in last week’s loss to Texas, it was still a sloppy home performance under a pretty big spotlight.

One more reason for optimism: Missouri has been bad in the red zone. They rank dead last in the SEC and 124th nationally in red zone offense.

That matters because Ole Miss just saw what happens when a team can keep an opponent out of the red area altogether. The only way Ole Miss scored last week was off a debatable DPI call on fourth down that gave fresh life, so there’s reason to think Missouri could have a hard time finishing drives.

Still, there’s a real list of concerns heading into this one, and it starts with turnovers. Georgia and Missouri are both among the SEC’s best in turnover margin, and both defenses create chaos in similar ways.

They get after quarterbacks, force strip fumbles, and turn pressure into interceptions. Missouri recovered three fumbles in Fayetteville on Halloween, then added two more when Texas came to town last week, though they also caused another that Arch fell on for a key first down.

Austin Simmons has also done a good job protecting the ball, with only 2 interceptions on the season. The encouraging part, from Georgia’s side, is that the only truly stout SEC defense Missouri has faced was Texas, and the hope is that Georgia’s defense shows up the way it has the last two weeks and blows up those plans.

Missouri also has a receiver who demands attention in Caydn Lee. The senior is on track to top 1,000 receiving yards and could be pushing double-digit touchdown catches.

He has three games over 110 yards and seven games over 75. He’s also a Georgia native, a product of Kennesaw Mountain HS, and he’s been around this matchup before.

Lee spent the past three seasons with Lane Kiffin at Ole Miss, caught 4 passes against Georgia in the 2024 game there, and added 4 more in the Sugar Bowl last December. This season, he’s become the clear possession target for Austin Simmons, with at least 5 catches in every game.

On the other side, Missouri has the 6’2” rangy Donovan Olugbode.

And then there’s Simmons himself. He’s the lefty who stepped in for an injured Jaxson Dart in 2024 against UGA and immediately led the BearShark Rebels down the field for a key score to quench any momentum Georgia might have built.

This season, he’s settled in nicely at Missouri, throwing multiple touchdowns in 6 of 9 games. The one game where he didn’t throw a touchdown came against Ole Miss, but he still passed for 339 yards.

His accuracy is described as pretty elite, and while he’s not a running threat per se, he can move in the pocket and give his receivers room to uncover.

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