Georgia’s CFP Odds Have Plummeted - But the Dawgs Are Still Built to Bite Back
Georgia’s path to the College Football Playoff has been anything but smooth, but here they are - just days away from facing Ole Miss with a shot at reclaiming national glory. For a program that’s been the gold standard in recent years, simply making the playoff isn’t the end goal. The Bulldogs are chasing another national title, and the road to get there starts now.
But if you’re looking at the Vegas odds, you might think Georgia’s championship hopes are hanging by a thread. At one point earlier this season, the Bulldogs were given a 47% chance to win it all. That number has since cratered to just 15%, a dramatic drop that’s raised more than a few eyebrows around Athens.
Let’s unpack that.
Yes, Georgia stumbled out of the gate. The early-season performances weren’t exactly dominant, and close calls against lesser opponents didn’t inspire much confidence.
The near-loss to Tennessee and the early defeat to Alabama in their fourth game were legitimate red flags. At that point, a dip in title odds made perfect sense.
But that was then.
Since the Alabama loss, Georgia has ripped off nine straight wins - and not just against cupcakes. We’re talking about quality victories over Ole Miss, Texas, and a revenge win over Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.
That’s a resume most programs would kill for. And yet, the oddsmakers still aren’t buying in.
That 15% figure doesn’t just reflect Georgia’s path through the playoff - it suggests a lack of faith in their ability to finish the job. Whether that’s about matchups, metrics, or momentum, the message is clear: Vegas sees Georgia as a long shot.
But here’s the thing - Georgia thrives in this space.
Kirby Smart has built a program that doesn’t flinch when doubted. If anything, this kind of skepticism becomes fuel.
The Bulldogs have been here before, and they know how to respond. This isn’t a team that needs outside validation - they’ve got the talent, the depth, and the championship DNA to go the distance.
So while the odds may have shifted, the mission hasn’t. Georgia’s margin for error is gone, but their ceiling remains sky-high. The journey continues with a high-stakes matchup against Ole Miss - and if history tells us anything, it’s that you count out the Dawgs at your own risk.