Florida State Faces A Defining October With ACC Momentum On The Line

With tough upcoming matchups against Virginia, Louisville, and Miami, the Florida State Seminoles must navigate October wisely to keep their season afloat.

Florida State is walking into a defining stretch, and it starts Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium against Virginia.

The Seminoles are 2-2 overall and 0-1 in the ACC, while Virginia arrives at 3-1 and 1-0 in conference play. Florida State’s defense is already staring down a serious test in Cavaliers quarterback Beau Pribula, who has thrown 11 touchdown passes against just one interception and has completed 76.7 percent of his passes. Florida State’s secondary has only three interceptions this season, so Pribula figures to put that group under immediate pressure.

That challenge gets even steeper because Florida State defensive coordinator Tony White is telegraphing his defensive game plan to the enemy, leaving the Seminoles at a disadvantage before the ball is even snapped.

And October does not ease up after Virginia. Florida State heads into a two-week road trip that looks about as unforgiving as it gets, with Louisville one week and Miami the next. Both opponents bring offenses capable of stressing an inconsistent Seminoles defense.

Louisville, which is 2-2 overall and 1-1 in the ACC, comes in with a 6-18 record against Florida State. The most recent meeting came in the 2023 ACC Championship Game, when the Seminoles beat the Cardinals 16-6.

This Louisville team is producing at a high level offensively, ranking No. 18 in the FBS with 486 yards per game. Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz, an Ohio State transfer, has been the engine behind it all.

He has thrown seven touchdown passes, rushed for six scores and is averaging 285 passing yards per game. Running back Keyjuan Brown has added another layer, averaging 9.30 yards per carry while scoring two touchdowns over four games.

Then comes Miami on Oct. 17, and the Hurricanes are a different kind of problem altogether.

Miami is 4-0 and 2-0 in the ACC, and its offense has been overwhelming opponents from the start. The Hurricanes are averaging 51.8 points per game, which ranks No. 3 nationally, and they sit No. 1 in the country in total offense at 588 yards per game and 8.53 yards per play.

Quarterback Darian Mensah has been sensational, throwing for 1,211 yards and 14 touchdowns, which leads the FBS, while turning the ball over zero times. He has also completed 88.7 percent of his passes, the best mark in the FBS.

His top target, Malachi Toney, has been just as dangerous. Toney has hauled in 34 passes for 564 yards and six touchdowns, and he is averaging 141 receiving yards per game. Together, Mensah and Toney have formed what the source describes as the most talented and productive quarterback-receiver duo in college football.

Florida State’s secondary coaches Blue Adams and Evan Cooper have a major job ahead of them over these next three weeks. The Seminoles need to clean up the communication breakdowns, coverage busts and tackling problems that have shown up all season.

If Florida State can do that and find a way to split one of those road games, it would give the team a real boost. But the first priority is clear: beat Virginia and pick up the Seminoles’ first ACC win of the season.

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Florida State Defense Just Created A Bigger Virginia Concern

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White also admitted the bigger issue has been Florida States own uneven execution of defensive calls, a point Virginia can study now that his remarks were made publicly available. For a Cavaliers offense trying to build a plan, that kind of candor is useful information, especially when the Seminoles are signaling a different priority than the one opponents might expect. [Read more 🡒]