Florida Bye Week Just Changed The Gators National Outlook

Florida Gators climb ESPN's FPI rankings during their bye week, showcasing their growing potential in the 2026 season.

Florida didn’t play in Week 8, but the Gators still picked up a little ground in ESPN’s Football Power Index.

After the bye, Florida jumped two spots to No. 17 in the updated FPI rankings even though its rating dipped slightly to 14.5. The Gators are slotted between No.

16 Wake Forest at 15.1 and No. 18 Houston at 14.4.

The FPI is designed to forecast how teams will perform the rest of the season, using a net-points scale to measure strength and an expected margin against an average opponent on a neutral field. ESPN’s projections are built from 20,000 season simulations based on the FPI and each team’s schedule.

Florida’s projected regular-season finish sits at 7.7-4.3, and the model gives the Gators just a 1.3% shot at running the table. The chance of reaching six wins remains essentially locked in at 98.8%, while the odds of taking the conference moved up 0.5% to 2.5%.

The playoff outlook also ticked upward. Florida’s College Football Playoff chance climbed from 13.3% to 16.6%. The Gators now have a 0.9% chance of making the national championship game, up 0.2%, and a 0.3% chance of winning the title, up 0.1%.

Here’s how ESPN’s FPI top 25 looked after Week 8:

Ohio State Buckeyes

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Miami Hurricanes

Georgia Bulldogs

Alabama Crimson Tide

Indiana Hoosiers

LSU Tigers

Texas Longhorns

Ole Miss Rebels

Utah Utes

Oregon Ducks

Tennessee Volunteers

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Texas Tech Red Raiders

BYU Cougars

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Florida Gators

Houston Cougars

Oklahoma Sooners

Northwestern Wildcats

Louisville Cardinals

Texas A&M Aggies

Arizona Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats

USC Trojans

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