The Edmonton Oilers are starting this season with a setup they should love: two straight games against the Vancouver Canucks, beginning with tonight’s home opener at 8 p.m. MT on SNW.
And if the recent pattern holds, that matters.
The Oilers have stumbled early in each of the past three seasons, going 4-5-1, 4-5-1 and 2-7-1. But they’ve also shown they can come out flying when the timing and the coach are right.
In the fall of 2021, they opened 9-1, then followed that with a 7-3 start the next season. This year’s schedule gives them a chance to get rolling again.
Vancouver is the ideal opponent on paper. The Canucks were the worst team in the NHL last season, and nothing in the off-season suggests they’ve climbed out of that group.
That said, the Oilers still have to do the work. A soft opponent doesn’t matter if Edmonton isn’t fast, sharp and detailed.
That part, at least, has been a theme with this group under new coaches.
When Jay Woodcroft took over, Edmonton finished 26-9-3 in its last 38 games, good for the second-most points in the league over that stretch, one behind Calgary. The Oilers then beat the Flames 4-1 in the second round of the playoffs.
Kris Knoblauch inherited the team on Nov. 13, 2023, after a 3-9-1 start, and the turnaround was even more dramatic. Edmonton went 29-9 in his first 38 games and finished with the best record in the NHL after he arrived, going 46-18-5.
Now it’s Mike Babcock’s turn, and the expectation is that the Oilers can respond again. Babcock has already made changes to how they want to play, just as Woodcroft and Knoblauch did.
The issue isn’t whether the players can adjust. It’s whether they keep the details locked in night after night.
Babcock wants them attacking all over the ice, but he’s also demanding about the little things: puck support, chip-and-chase decisions, and defensive-zone rotation and reaction. The 4-0 preseason record shouldn’t be oversold, but the way Edmonton played was steady. They didn’t surrender much, and when they did, their goaltenders backed them up.
That emphasis lines up with a clear goal: cut down on goals against. Edmonton has done that before under previous coaches, and there’s reason to think it can happen again. Under Knoblauch, the Oilers ranked fifth in goals against per game and had the seventh-best penalty kill in 69 games.
The scoring, of course, has never been the concern.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl remain in their prime, and Evan Bouchard is there on the blue line as well. Edmonton should have enough secondary scoring too, though it could use a little more from the depth players. Everyone is starting with a clean slate under Babcock, and the message is simple: play well, and you’ll play.
There is one notable change for tonight. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will not play because of a lower-body issue that Babcock said happened in practice yesterday.
Nugent-Hopkins is seven games away from breaking Kevin Lowe’s franchise record of 1,037 games played. He had been set to do that at home on Oct. 15, but that will now be pushed back.
Babcock called him day-to-day, though that could mean one game or 10.
With Nugent-Hopkins out, Babcock said, “It was possible,” that the injury would lead to McDavid and Draisaitl being split up. That looks likely. The projected look has Isaac Howard moving into the top six, with McDavid skating between Howard and Zach Hyman, while Draisaitl would center Vasily Podkolzin and Kasperi Kapanen.
The rest of the projected Oilers lines: Trent Frederic centering Andrew Jones and Owen Michaels, who will make his NHL debut tonight, while the defense pairs are Mattias Ekholm with Bouchard, Jake Walman with Evan Murphy, and Troy Stecher with Adam Mukhamadullin. Stuart Skinner is listed in goal.
Michaels’ debut is one of the night’s more personal storylines. He grew up near Detroit and was a big Red Wings fan, with Pavel Datsyuk as his favorite player.
His parents arrived from Detroit last night, while his sister Maggie came in from Dallas and his other sister Bridget flew in from Los Angeles. Michaels said he had plenty of emotion when he learned he was playing, but he’s trying to keep the moment manageable.
“That is a great question. There was definitely a lot of emotions yesterday when I found out I would be playing,” Michaels said.
“I have lived this day a million times in my head, so I will try to lean on that and remember what I was dreaming about. I’m sure there will be some nerves, that is human nature, but I will try to keep it simple at the start and hopefully after a few shifts I will settle in.”
The Oilers have also been a strong club in openers. They are 24-17-4-1 in season openers and 21-10-3-1 when they start at home. Against Vancouver, the numbers are even more favorable: Edmonton has 142 regular-season wins over the Canucks and is 80-45-7-6 on home ice against them.
Last season, the Oilers went 3-0-1 against Vancouver, winning 3-1, 6-0 and 6-1 before losing 4-3 in overtime. The Canucks finished with a league-worst 58 points and didn’t do much to change the outlook this summer. Scoring remains a problem for them, as they tied Chicago for the second-fewest goals in the NHL at 2.56 per game.
Vancouver’s lineup is projected to have Jake DeBrusk back in after he missed practice yesterday. Elias Pettersson, the forward, led the Canucks with 51 points last season, while DeBrusk led them with 23 goals. Their top line is expected to feature DeBrusk with Pettersson and Lekkerimaki, and Thatcher Lankinen is projected to start in goal.
The rest of the Canucks lineup projects as Ohgren-Rossi-Boeser, O’Connor-Sasson-Karlsson, and Cotter-Raty-Gallagher, with Buium and Hronek on one defense pair, Oleksiak and Willander on another, and E.N. Pettersson with Schenn on the third.
Edmonton should have the edge, but it still has to cash in.
GAME DAY PREDICTION: Oilers win their first-ever regular-season game in September and win their season opener for the first time since Oct. 12, 2022. They defeat the Canucks 5-2.
OBVIOUS GAME DAY PREDICTION: Connor McDavid has a multi-point game.
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Oilers May Be Eyeing A Risky Bet They Cant Afford
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Dachs path in Montreal has been complicated by injuries, and his recent performance has not matched the promise he showed when he first arrived with the Canadiens. Martin St. Louis has also publicly stressed the need for Dach to stay alert and work hard during games, a reminder that any team betting on him is buying into potential as much as production. For the Oilers, the question is whether that kind of gamble is worth the risk. [Read more 🡒]
Oilers Identity Under Babcock Is Already Showing In One Key Area
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Oilers Cap Crunch Could Create A Tough Roster Squeeze Soon
The opening of the season has already pushed Edmonton into a familiar kind of early-schedule bookkeeping, with the roster deadline now behind it and the club juggling a tight cap picture. The Oilers are carrying $2.85 million in dead money, including Jack Campbells buyout, and only a sliver of breathing room under the ceiling, which means every roster move carries extra weight for a team trying to stay competitive while managing injuries.
That pressure has only grown with a cluster of players on injured reserve, including Mattias Janmark, Alec Regula, Frederik Andersen, Jason Dickinson and Matt Savoie. How the Oilers navigate those placements and any related call-ups or transactions will matter not just now, but over the course of the season, with the cap situation likely to shape decisions well before the trade deadline. [Read more 🡒]