The Tarik Skubal question is getting harder to answer by the day in Detroit.
On one hand, the Tigers still have every reason to listen if another club comes calling with the kind of haul that FanSided MLB insider Robert Murray reported rival general managers believe it would take: at least one top-100 prospect in all of baseball and another team top-10 prospect. Skubal is also likely headed for MLB free agency after the season, which only raises the stakes. If Detroit can cash in, the logic is obvious.
But the Tigers are also giving Scott Harris something he couldn’t ignore if this keeps up: a real reason to think about the present, not just the future. Detroit has the best record in the American League since the start on June.
The club has won seven of its last eight and is in the middle of a six-game homestand against the Athletics and Phillies. If that stretch goes the right way, the front office will have to weigh postseason reality against the temptation to move its best arm.
That’s the heart of the debate. The Tigers are four games back of the final AL Wild Card spot and 5.5 games behind the division-leading White Sox.
That’s not a dead end. It’s a gap a hot team can still close, especially one that’s finally starting to look like the group fans saw in the first half of 2025.
And then there’s the market, which may not cooperate with Detroit’s asking price anyway. A contender might balk at paying a premium for less than half a season of Skubal, even with his two-time AL Cy Young pedigree. If the offers look more like the lowball returns Harris has gotten for other starters at past deadlines - Eduardo Rodriguez is the example here - then the incentive to deal him drops fast.
Keeping Skubal would also come with a little more insulation than it might seem at first glance. If Detroit extends him a qualifying offer this winter, the Tigers would likely receive a draft pick. That doesn’t make trading him impossible, but it does mean Harris isn’t automatically wrecking the organization’s future by holding on.
Still, there’s a real downside to standing pat. Skubal is not a sure thing physically. He’s been good since returning from the injured list, but his absence was shortened by a rare NanoNeedle Scope procedure, and elbow issues always carry some risk of a setback.
The other danger is simpler: the Tigers may not be good enough. June and the early part of July have been encouraging, but the American League is crowded with teams that look dangerous on paper.
The Rays are emerging like a juggernaut, and the Yankees and Mariners remain serious threats. If Detroit keeps Skubal, it is effectively going all-in on a run that may never fully materialize.
That’s what makes the next stretch so important. The Tigers are winning enough to make this conversation uncomfortable, and maybe that’s the point. If they keep stacking victories, the trade deadline debate stops being about asset management and starts becoming a question of whether Detroit is ready to bet on itself.
In Other News...
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The verdict is not complete, though, because the class has also been shaped by the usual draft-day uncertainty, especially on the pitching side. Hamm and Paul Wilson have both dealt with injury setbacks that have slowed their progress, which leaves the Tigers weighing upside against availability as the class enters a more meaningful stage of evaluation. [Read more 🡒]
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Coverage starts on NBC and Peacock for the first 10 picks before moving to MLB Network and MLB.com for the rest, with the White Sox holding the No. 1 overall selection. A few clubs have also been hit with draft pick penalties for crossing the Competitive Balance Tax threshold, adding another layer to how the board could unfold, and the Tigers will be watching closely as their own Day 1 opportunities begin to stack up. [Read more 🡒]
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The biggest concern is the same one that has followed him from Houston to Detroit: the curveball is not missing bats the way it once did, and the rest of the profile has slipped with it. When the pitch that usually drives so much of his success loses bite, the margin for error gets thin in a hurry, and Detroit is already seeing how quickly that can turn a dependable starter into a much more vulnerable one. [Read more 🡒]