The Tigers have a clear bullpen problem to solve, and David Bednar fits the kind of answer they need.
Detroit already knows the shape of this search. The club declined Kenley Jansen’s contract option, and now it has to find a new closer for 2027 after a 2026 bullpen that posted a historic 31 blown saves.
That kind of collapse doesn’t get fixed by wishful thinking. It takes a reliever who can own the ninth inning.
Bednar checks a lot of those boxes. He’s one of the top closers available in free agency, and Detroit has already shown interest before. When the Pittsburgh Pirates shopped him in 2025, the Tigers looked into a deal, but they weren’t willing to part with the prospects Pittsburgh wanted.
Now Bednar, 32, is back on the market after a strong 2026 season that restored his value. He finished with a 2.47 ERA, 35 saves and 1.9 WAR, a sharp rebound from the rough 2025 campaign that ended with a 5.77 ERA and questions about whether he could still overpower hitters. In his last two seasons, he has again looked like the pitcher who made the All-Star teams in 2022 and 2023.
The biggest reason for that turnaround was his pitch mix. Bednar leaned hard into his splitter, raising its usage from 19.7% in 2025 to 41.2% in 2026.
It became his main weapon, and hitters managed only a .149 average and a .181 wOBA against it. That adjustment helped him offset a drop in fastball velocity, with his four-seamer dipping from 97.1 mph in 2025 to 96.1 mph in 2026.
His knuckle curveball also played a bigger role, giving him another pitch that works well off the splitter and helps him miss bats while limiting hard contact.
The numbers back up the eye test. Bednar finished 2026 in the 99th percentile in Chase%, 88th in Whiff% and 89th in Barrel% allowed. That puts him squarely in the elite class of relievers on the market.
For Detroit, the appeal is obvious. The Tigers have spent the last two seasons looking for relievers who can miss bats and avoid giving up damaging contact. Jansen’s season showed how costly that can be, with seven home runs allowed, including four walk-offs.
Bednar offers a different kind of ninth-inning profile, one that doesn’t depend entirely on velocity. That’s the key distinction. Jansen has long been more of a strikeout pitcher, but in 2026 he leaned on his cutter for more than 80% of his pitches for the third straight year, and that approach didn’t solve the problems piling up around him.
Bednar’s strikeout rate did fall, from 34.3% to 27.1%, but the rest of the profile still screams quality. His 2.61 FIP and 20% K-BB% support what he did in 2026, and they keep him in the conversation with the most dominant closers who don’t need elite velocity to get outs.
The biggest hurdle is money. The Yankees extended Bednar a $23.15 million qualifying offer, and he has until November 17 to accept or decline it. If he turns it down and signs with Detroit, the Tigers would lose their third-highest selection in the 2027 Draft under the compensation rules.
As for the price tag, the market points toward a three-year deal in the $45 million to $55 million range, with Devin Williams’ three-year, $51 million contract with the Mets serving as the comparison.
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Luis Arraez has emerged as a possible answer in outside speculation, with a Bleacher Report writer projecting the Tigers could pursue him as a replacement. It is only a prediction for now, not a confirmed move, but it speaks to the kind of offseason Detroit may be headed for as it looks to sharpen the lineup and make better use of the opportunities it created during a competitive season. [Read more 🡒]
