Bo Nix has become one of the most intriguing quarterbacks in the NFL - not because of what he can't do, but because of how often he proves people wrong. In just his second season, he's led the Denver Broncos to 24 regular-season wins and has them knocking on the door of a Super Bowl appearance. For a franchise that’s been searching for stability under center since the Peyton Manning era, that’s not just progress - that’s a revival.
As the Broncos prepare to host the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round, there’s no shortage of storylines. But if you’re trying to get a read on how Denver might fare, three Bo Nix stats stand out - and they just might point toward a Broncos win.
1. 21 Total Touchdowns When Trailing in 2025
Let’s start with the stat that’s come to define Nix’s season. Of his 30 total touchdowns this year, 21 have come when the Broncos were behind on the scoreboard. That’s a staggering 70% - and it tells you everything you need to know about how this quarterback responds under pressure.
This isn’t just about putting up numbers in garbage time. Nix has consistently delivered when the Broncos have needed it most.
Whether they’re down three or double digits, he’s shown a knack for staying poised, reading defenses, and putting the ball where it needs to be. That kind of composure is rare in a young quarterback - and it’s exactly what you want heading into a playoff game against a battle-tested team like Buffalo.
If Denver finds itself trailing late - say, 21-17 heading into the fourth - history suggests they’re not just alive, they’re dangerous. Nix has made a habit of coming through when the moment demands it.
2. 96.2 Passer Rating in the Second Quarter
Here’s a stat that might fly under the radar but could be critical: Bo Nix has been at his best in the second quarter this season, posting a 96.2 passer rating and accounting for 12 of his 30 total touchdowns in that frame alone. That’s 40% of his scoring production packed into just 15 minutes of football each week.
The second quarter has become something of a sweet spot for this Broncos offense. It’s where they tend to settle in, find rhythm, and start dictating the pace of the game. That matters in the playoffs, where momentum swings fast and scoring before halftime can tilt the field.
The ideal script? Put points on the board late in the second quarter, then double up by scoring on the opening drive of the third. That’s how you flip a game and keep a team like Buffalo - who’s dealing with injuries at wide receiver and leaning heavily on the run - playing from behind.
3. 18 Total Touchdowns at Home in 2025
Playing in Denver has always come with its own set of challenges for visiting teams, and this year, the Broncos turned Mile High into a fortress. They went 8-1 at home during the regular season, and Bo Nix was a big reason why - tossing 18 total touchdowns in those nine games.
That’s an average of two touchdowns per home game. And in what’s expected to be a low-scoring, defensive battle against the Bills, that kind of production could be the difference.
Buffalo’s offense is banged up and increasingly one-dimensional, especially with a depleted wide receiver corps. If Denver can force them to lean on the run and control the tempo, two touchdowns from Nix might be all it takes.
This game could come down to who reaches 20 points first - and with Nix’s home-field efficiency, the Broncos have to feel good about their chances.
Bottom line: Bo Nix isn’t just managing games - he’s shaping them. Whether it’s rallying from behind, striking before halftime, or delivering in front of the home crowd, he’s consistently met the moment. If those trends hold against the Bills, Denver might just be one win away from the AFC title game - and maybe more.