Bo Nix’s first two seasons have already put him in some rare company, and the numbers show why the Broncos have reason to feel good about where their quarterback is headed.
Nix has thrown 54 touchdown passes through two years in Denver, and when you fold in his nine rushing scores and one receiving touchdown, he’s up to 64 total touchdowns in his first 32 career starts. That total ranks ninth all-time, with every name ahead of him familiar territory - including two Hall of Famers.
The passing production is only part of the story. Nix has posted a 2.35-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio as a passer, which puts him 23rd among quarterbacks over the last 10 NFL seasons among those with at least 30 passing touchdowns.
Aaron Rodgers sits at the top of that list at 4.66, while Caleb Williams is third at 3.62. Williams has thrown 47 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions in his career so far, a pace that would be Hall of Fame caliber if it holds.
Nix still has room to climb in his third season, and the path is pretty straightforward: cleaner decisions, more touchdowns, and a bigger leap in volume. He’s currently behind several quarterbacks still in their primes, including Williams, Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Jordan Love, and Matthew Stafford.
Drake Maye, another member of the 2024 quarterback class, is also ahead of him at 2.56. Even Jacoby Brissett, whose career began in 2016, has a slightly better mark at 2.38.
That leaves plenty of room for Nix to move up fast if his third season goes the way some breakout years do. If he gets to 40 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions in 2026, his career ratio would jump to 2.85, which would place him in the top 10. As a rookie, he finished with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
There’s precedent for a big third-year leap. Andrew Luck went from 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions to 40 and 16 in his third season as a starter.
Patrick Mahomes went from 26/5 to 38/6. Stafford posted 41 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in his third season.
Even if Nix were to throw 15 interceptions instead of 10, his career ratio would still rise to 2.47.
The tougher ask is the touchdown total itself. Only one quarterback threw for more than 40 touchdowns last season, MVP Matthew Stafford.
Three quarterbacks reached that mark in 2024, but there were none in 2023 and just one in 2022, Mahomes. A more realistic target for Nix in 2026 might be 36 touchdowns, and if he got there with 12 interceptions, his career ratio would climb to 2.57 - almost exactly where Maye sits now.
That’s the lane Nix is in: already productive, already efficient, and still with room to make a bigger statistical jump in year three.
In Other News...
Bo Nix Has A Clear Preference For Denvers New Offensive Setup
As the Broncos work through the early details of Davis Webbs first season as offensive coordinator, one of the quieter choices is already carrying some weight: where hell actually call plays from. Webb, a former NFL quarterback, is weighing the sideline against the booth, and while he has not locked in a final decision, the lean appears to be toward staying down on the field. It is a small operational call, but one that can shape communication, pace and the feel of Denvers offense on game day.
Sean Payton has backed the sideline setup, and Bo Nix has made clear he prefers it too, which gives that option plenty of internal support as the Broncos settle into a new offensive structure. The discussion fits a familiar Broncos thread, since past coaches have also favored different spots based on how they wanted to manage the game. For now, the question is less about philosophy than finality, and Webbs choice will be one of the first real tells of how this offense wants to function when the games start mattering. [Read more 🡒]
Colin Cowherd Sees A Troubling Sign In The Broncos Outlook
Fox Sports analyst Colin Cowherd is looking at the Broncos future with a wary eye, and his concern starts with how they won last season. Denver was constantly living on the edge, trailing in a bunch of games before finding ways to come out on top, a formula that can look sturdy in the moment and fragile when the wins stop breaking the right way. Cowherd tied that kind of success to the idea that it can be hard to repeat, especially for a team that has spent a lot of time winning tight ones.
The comparison he reached for was the Chiefs, whose own recent slide serves as a warning sign for any contender trying to stay ahead of the curve. From Denvers perspective, the pressure only gets louder because the opening stretch of the schedule leaves little room to ease in, with a run of opponents that could quickly test whether last seasons resilience was a real step forward or just a hard-to-replicate run of good fortune. [Read more 🡒]
Sean Payton Suddenly Has A Broncos Camp Problem Fans Feared
Training camp is only a few days old, but the Broncos are already dealing with the kind of soft-tissue injuries that can make August feel longer than it should. Jaylen Waddle and Marvin Mims Jr. have both been affected, and the wave of issues has forced Denver to manage practices more carefully as Sean Payton tries to keep the roster moving toward the season without losing momentum.
Payton said the early camp grind brings its own challenges, and he has already pointed to the work that happens before players ever step on the field as part of avoiding those strains and groin or hamstring problems. The concern now is how quickly the Broncos can stabilize things, especially with the position groups they are trying to evaluate and the health questions that keep surfacing while camp is still in its early stages. [Read more 🡒]