As we dive into late March, the Dallas Mavericks (23-47) are set to host the Los Angeles Clippers (34-36) in a matchup that holds different stakes for each team. The Clippers are in the thick of the play-in race, having dropped their last four games, including two to the Pelicans.
Kawhi Leonard, quietly crafting a near-MVP season, isn't one to take consecutive losses lightly, especially against lower-ranked teams. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are caught in a tight race for draft positioning, battling it out with Memphis and New Orleans.
Dallas plays with grit, but tonight, the Clippers come with a different fire.
Let’s break down the game dynamics and betting insights.
Game Details
- Fixture: Los Angeles Clippers (34-36) @ Dallas Mavericks (23-47)
- Location: American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX
- Time: 7:30 PM CST, Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Broadcast: KFAA Channel 29 / MavsTV / NBA League Pass
Betting Snapshot (as of March 20)
- Spread: LAC -6.5 (-118) | DAL +6.5 (-102)
- Total: 233.5 (O -110 / U -110)
- Moneyline: LAC -290 | DAL +235
Analysis and Picks
Game Side Lean: Clippers -6.5
Kawhi Leonard is averaging 28.2 points on 50% shooting, showcasing his most complete game in years. Historically, he's been a thorn in Dallas' side.
With the Clippers on a four-game skid and fighting for a crucial play-in spot, expect them to cover the spread. Dallas, though competitive, may struggle to keep up with a motivated Kawhi.
Lean towards the Clippers to cover.
Total Lean: Under 233.5
Expect this game to be a slower-paced, physical battle. The Clippers aren't built for fast-paced games, and with Dallas dealing with frontcourt injuries, they may not push the tempo either.
Anticipate a grind-it-out game with more halfcourt plays. The under looks promising here.
Player Props to Watch
- John Collins Over 14.5 Points (-118): Collins has consistently performed well against Dallas since his time with the Hawks. With defenses focused on Kawhi, Collins should see ample scoring opportunities. Clearing 14.5 points seems well within reach.
- Daniel Gafford Over 9.5 Points (-114): Gafford has been in double figures for six straight games. Against a Clippers frontcourt that allows inside opportunities, Gafford’s ability to finish around the rim should shine. Look for him to hit this mark comfortably.
Final Thoughts
The Clippers, driven by Kawhi's determination, are poised to cover the spread. Expect a slower, more tactical game, making the under a smart play.
Keep an eye on Collins and Gafford to hit their scoring marks. While the Mavericks may be looking ahead to the draft, tonight's focus is on the Clippers' playoff push.