Khris Middleton's recent stint with the Dallas Mavericks has been nothing short of impressive. However, it presents a unique challenge for the team.
His performance in Dallas has significantly outshone his earlier season with the Washington Wizards. In just five games with the Mavericks, Middleton is averaging 14.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.6 assists in 23.0 minutes per game, shooting an impressive 49.0% from the field, 35.3% from beyond the arc, and 88.9% from the free-throw line.
His 61.5% true shooting percentage highlights a level of scoring efficiency that was missing during his time in Washington, where he averaged 10.3 points on 43.3% shooting over 34 games.
But here's the rub: the Mavericks are in a position where winning isn't necessarily beneficial. They need to focus on maximizing their draft lottery odds, which makes Middleton's strong play a bit of a dilemma.
Should they consider a buyout for Middleton?
The Case Against a Buyout
Let's delve into the Mavericks' current strategy. Despite their struggles, Dallas hasn't fully embraced a tanking approach.
Their decision to acquire Anthony Davis and a first-round pick in the Luka Dončić trade indicated a desire to stay competitive, even if that plan hasn't panned out as expected. Sitting at 21-36, the Mavericks find themselves closer to the Western Conference's basement than the summit.
Yet, abandoning their core principles might not be the right move. Keeping Middleton could serve as a statement about maintaining professionalism and striving for excellence, regardless of the standings.
It could also be a strategic move for the future. Middleton, a seasoned 13-year veteran, three-time All-Star, and 2021 NBA champion, will enter free agency this summer.
At 34, he might not be the prolific scorer he once was in Milwaukee, but his ability to shoot, create in the mid-range, and provide stability is still valuable.
If Dallas appreciates what Middleton has brought in his brief tenure - including a standout 25-point game against Indiana - they might gain an advantage in re-signing him. That possibility vanishes if they opt for a buyout.
Moreover, how much impact will Middleton truly have on the win column? While he's played well, the Mavericks have still fallen to teams like the Phoenix Suns, Minnesota Timberwolves, and Los Angeles Lakers during his time.
Victories over the Brooklyn Nets and Indiana Pacers aren't necessarily game-changers for their lottery odds. It's plausible that Dallas might have won those games with or without Middleton.
So, why rush to let him go?
The Case For a Buyout
Now, let's consider Middleton's perspective. If Dallas buys him out, he could join a contender for the playoff push.
Given his accolades - three All-Star nods and a championship - this scenario seems appealing. While we can't speak for his mindset, it's reasonable to think a veteran in his 13th season would relish the chance to compete for a title.
There's also a straightforward argument: Middleton's talent is a double-edged sword for Dallas. Even slight improvements in performance can affect their lottery odds.
The difference between a 7.5% and a 9% chance at the top pick might hinge on a game or two. Middleton's efficiency in Dallas - a 55.1% effective field goal percentage compared to 48.8% in Washington - indicates he could influence close games in subtle ways.
Why risk it?
The Conclusion
The Mavericks should consider buying Middleton out.
The opportunity to foster a winning culture this season has passed. With Dallas among the Western Conference's bottom dwellers, prioritizing draft positioning is crucial.
This summer offers a chance to reset.
While Middleton has been a revelation in Dallas, the long-term plan must take precedence. A buyout before the March 1 deadline would allow him to join a playoff contender, aligning with both his interests and the Mavericks' strategic goals.