Cowboys Head Into Week 4 With A Start Fans Dread

Experts are casting doubt on Dallas as they face off against the winless Texans in a high-stakes Week 4 showdown.

The Cowboys and Texans are both staring at a season-altering Week 4 game, but the confidence level around Dallas is not exactly soaring. After a combined 1-5 start, these teams are already in must-win territory, with the Cowboys sitting at 1-2 and Houston at 0-3.

Houston has been here before. The Texans climbed out of an 0-3 start in 2025, so they know what that kind of hole feels like.

But another loss would put them in brutal historical company. Since 1990, only one team has reached the playoffs after starting 0-4, and that was the 1992 San Diego Chargers.

Dallas has a little more breathing room, at least in theory. A 1-3 start does not slam the door shut the way 0-4 almost certainly would.

Since 1990, 37 teams have still made the playoffs after beginning 1-3. Since the postseason expanded to 14 teams in 2020, seven teams have pulled it off, including last year’s Texans and the Carolina Panthers.

This will be the eighth meeting between the franchises. Dallas has won four of the previous seven, but Houston took the most recent matchup in 2024.

The problem for the Cowboys is that this matchup looks rough on both sides of the ball. Houston’s secondary is good enough to make Dak Prescott work longer than he wants to, and that extra time could be a gift to an elite Texans pass rush. Dallas’ offensive line is already under pressure, and this is not the kind of front that looks friendly on paper.

There may not be much help on the ground, either. Houston owns the fifth-best run defense in the NFL, which makes life even tougher for a Cowboys offense that could already be forced into uncomfortable situations.

The Texans have actually been stronger on offense than on defense, especially through the air, and that is a bad fit for a Dallas secondary that was already struggling before the injuries piled up. The Cowboys’ pass defense is not even their biggest issue on that side of the ball, either. Their run defense has been one of the worst in the league, and that opens the door for a Texans rushing attack that has had its own issues.

Put it together, and it is hard to see Dallas finding enough answers. Houston’s defense has looked better than its season numbers suggest, and it has the tools to keep the Cowboys from getting comfortable offensively.

The call here: the Texans protect home field, drop Dallas to 1-3, and send the Cowboys into Week 5 in a tough spot.

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