The Dallas Cowboys are heading into 2026 with a mix of optimism and uncertainty. After finishing last season with a 7-9-1 record, the team is looking to bounce back, and there's a palpable sense of positivity, especially if key offensive players like George Pickens and Javonte Williams return to form. But it's the defense that needs some serious attention.
Enter Christian Parker, the new defensive coordinator, whose arrival has sparked hope among fans and analysts alike. His introductory press conference at The Star set an encouraging tone, hinting at potential improvements on the defensive side of the ball.
However, the national media's take on the Cowboys remains a bit more cautious. With free agency and the draft still on the horizon, there's a lot that could change for Dallas in the coming months.
Yet, the sportsbooks aren't waiting around. DraftKings has already set the Cowboys' win total projection at 8.5 for Brian Schottenheimer's second year as head coach, a slight bump from last year's 7.5.
R.J. White from CBS Sports attributes this modest increase to the ongoing improvements under Schottenheimer's leadership. But the big question remains: Can the Cowboys exceed this projection in 2026?
Looking at their schedule, Dallas will face their NFC East rivals - the Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Commanders, and New York Giants - twice each. They'll also take on the Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans, Baltimore Ravens, Arizona Cardinals, San Francisco 49ers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Seattle Seahawks, and Los Angeles Rams.
Based on the current roster, it's reasonable to predict wins against teams like the Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Titans, Cardinals, and Buccaneers, potentially bringing their total to eight victories. But this is all speculative, especially with roster changes on the horizon.
As we look ahead, it's clear that the Cowboys' fate could hinge on the moves they make in the offseason. With the right additions, they might just surpass that 8.5 win projection.
Last year, the oddsmakers were spot on. Will they be again in 2026?
Only time will tell.
