Avalanche Success Keeps Fueling A Draft Pick Debate Fans Know Well

The Colorado Avalanche's 2028 first-round draft pick is being passed around like a hot potato as teams continue to see more value in trading than keeping it.

Colorado’s 2028 first-round pick is already making the rounds, and the trip is starting to look familiar.

The Avalanche sent that selection to the Calgary Flames at last year’s NHL trade deadline in the Nazem Kadri deal. Calgary then used it to get Simon Nemec from the New Jersey Devils earlier this summer, and now the Devils have moved it again. On Tuesday, New Jersey sent the pick to the Nashville Predators as part of the return for forward Luke Evangelista.

For a choice that is still two drafts away, that’s been quite a journey.

It also fits a pattern that’s beginning to form around Colorado’s first-rounders. Last season, the Avalanche’s original first-round pick bounced all over the league before finally being used.

It went from Colorado to the New York Islanders in the Brock Nelson trade, then from the Islanders to the St. Louis Blues in the Brayden Schenn trade.

St. Louis sent it to the Anaheim Ducks, and Anaheim flipped it to the Vegas Golden Knights, who ultimately made the pick.

The reason these Colorado picks keep getting moved is pretty straightforward: they usually aren’t premium first-rounders. Because the Avalanche are a strong team, their selections tend to land near the back of the opening round. This year’s pick, for instance, came in at No. 29 overall.

That’s still a useful asset, but it doesn’t carry the same shine as a top-10 pick, or especially a top-five one. A selection that high brings more upside and more certainty in the eyes of teams making deals. Colorado’s late first-rounders, by contrast, are often treated more like second-round currency.

That’s why they get traded so easily.

The comparison to the Chicago Blackhawks’ fourth-overall pick, which was dealt to the Buffalo Sabres for Bowen Byram, shows the gap in perceived value. A pick that high simply means more to teams than one sitting near the end of the first round.

And barring a dramatic collapse over the next couple of years, the Avalanche’s 2028 pick is unlikely to move much higher than the 28th or 30th spot. If Colorado wins the Stanley Cup in 2028, it would become the 32nd selection.

For the Avalanche, that’s the price of doing business when you’re chasing a championship.

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