Guardians October Problem Is Getting Harder To Ignore

October finds the Guardians' offense glaringly absent, raising concerns about their playoff strategy and financial structure.

The Guardians can point to the sixth inning of Game 2 all they want. They can revisit Stephen Vogt’s decision to go to the bullpen, the command issues that followed, and the two-run double that turned everything. But the bigger problem in Cleveland’s ALDS is staring everyone in the face, and Joe Noga of the Cleveland Baseball Talk Podcast said it plainly: the bats have vanished.

“The story of the game was the offense just being miserable again for the second straight game,” Noga said. “If the Guardians hit and continue to hit throughout a game, nobody’s spending Tuesday debating whether or not Gavin Williams should have faced one more batter in that game.”

That’s the part that won’t go away. Cleveland has managed just seven hits across 18 innings, and the club has gone the entire series without a hit with runners in scoring position.

In Game 2, two of the three runs came in the first inning only because Sean Newcombe threw the ball away on a chopper up the middle. Those runs were handed over, not created.

Meanwhile, the pitching has done enough to win. Williams punched out 11, piled up 22 swings and misses - a franchise postseason record in the pitch-tracking era - and fired 16 pitches at 100 miles per hour or harder.

He handed the ball over with a one-run lead. Cleveland still lost.

That’s become the ugly October theme. The Guardians have now lost 19 of their last 21 postseason games when they score three runs or fewer.

That kind of number doesn’t read like a slump. It reads like a built-in limitation.

Paul Hoynes pointed to the money side of the equation.

“I think a lot of it is payroll-induced,” Hoynes said. “It’s talent and the money you spend on talent shows up mostly in the postseason.

The White Sox have a larger payroll than Cleveland, but it’s not like they’re loaded with superstars. I just think you get what you pay for sometimes.

And when you have a scrappy kind of offense that the Guardians have, sometimes that plays better over 162 games than over a best of five.”

That’s the heart of it: the same lineup that can survive and even thrive over a full season has hit a wall in a short series.

Cleveland did show some pop in September, belting 33 home runs that month, and the team hit .250 after the All-Star break. None of that has translated to October.

And for all the focus on the lineup as a whole, the most glaring issue is José Ramírez. Cleveland’s best player hasn’t delivered a meaningful moment in the series, and that absence is being felt everywhere.

“There’s no confidence when José steps to the plate right now,” Noga said. “Not in the press box, not in the stands.”

Hoynes put it even more bluntly: “There’s no fear in the opposition.”

The Guardians have shown they can build a pitching staff on a budget. They can develop arms, win the division, and keep making October trips a regular part of life in Cleveland.

But when the count tilts against them and there’s no hitter in the lineup who can seize the moment, the ceiling shows up fast. And right now, the Guardians are running straight into it.

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Cleveland has already shown this October that it can shake off a bad start, rallying from a 2-0 deficit in the 2024 ALDS to extend its run. The challenge now is even more immediate after dropping the first two games of this series, but Kwans message was clear: the Guardians are not treating the moment like a lost cause. [Read more 🡒]

Vogt's Gavin Williams Decision Just Put More Pressure On Cleveland

Stephen Vogts choice to lift Gavin Williams in the sixth inning of Game 2 against the White Sox was made with caution in mind, as the Guardians manager said he wanted to avoid overextending the right-hander after 91 pitches. Williams had been working through a tough spot when he was removed following a single, and Cleveland was counting on the bullpen to keep the game manageable.

Instead, the relief group gave up more runs, and the loss left Cleveland in a deeper hole in the series. Now down 0-2 with the next games in Chicago, the Guardians face a tougher road than they wanted, and the decision to protect Williams only adds to the scrutiny as the pressure builds. [Read more 🡒]