The Cleveland Guardians hit the deadline with a burst of activity, adding Jo Adell, Nathaniel Lowe and Foster Griffin before the market closed. With the roster now mostly settled for the stretch run, attention shifts back to the field Tuesday night against the New York Mets.
First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. EST on MLB.TV, with the game coming at Progressive Field on August 4, 2026.
Cleveland sends Joey Cantillo to the mound, and he enters at 8-6 with a 3.88 ERA. New York counters with Sean Manaea, who is 2-5 with a 4.22 ERA.
Cantillo’s last outing came last Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he worked four scoreless innings, struck out eight and did not factor into the decision.
The injury picture tilts in Cleveland’s favor. The Guardians are listed as fully healthy, while the Mets will be without Juan Soto because of a calf issue. That set the stage for Dimers to run its latest simulations and spit out a fresh Guardians-Mets prediction.
After 10,000 simulations, Dimers’ model says the Guardians are the more likely winner at Progressive Field, with Cleveland given a 51.5% chance to take it. The same model has the Mets at +1.5 covering the spread 65.0% of the time, while the 7.5-run total leans 55.1% to the under.
Dimers’ best bet for the matchup is Over 7.5 runs at 51¢, even though the broader simulation data points slightly toward the under. The matchup preview also points to player prop markets involving names like Brayan Rocchio and Steven Kwan as part of the betting menu for Tuesday night.
In Other News...
Guardians Roster Shakeup Just Put Two Familiar Names In Limbo
A busy stretch of trades changed the look of Clevelands roster quickly, and the ripple effect reached two players who had been part of the clubs everyday conversation not long ago. The Guardians brought in Jo Adell, Nathaniel Lowe and Foster Griffin, then made the sort of corresponding moves that come with trying to reshape a roster in midseason.
Kyle Manzardo, the Opening Day first baseman, has had a tough time at the plate this year, while David Fry has also had trouble carving out steady playing time. Chris Antonetti said the organization still believes both players can help down the line, framing the changes as a way to improve the roster now and get them more consistent opportunities elsewhere. [Read more 🡒]
Guardians Just Sent A Clear Message About This Season
The Guardians spent two busy days sending a fairly loud message about where they think this season can go, reshaping the roster with help now in mind instead of waiting for a deeper rebuild to pay off. They added starter Foster Griffin, outfielder Jo Adell, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe and reliever Craig Yoho, giving the club a batch of pieces that can fit into the present tense as Cleveland tries to stay in the mix in the Central Division.
To get there, the front office parted with nine players, most of them prospects who were not ranked among the organizations top 10, a sign this was about targeted upgrades rather than a wholesale tear-down. Team president Chris Antonetti framed the approach as a bid to chase the division while still protecting the long view, and the real test now is whether the new arrivals give Cleveland enough extra punch to justify the gamble without closing the door on what comes next. [Read more 🡒]
Gabriel Arias Still Has One Thing The Guardians Clearly Value
The Guardians spent the trade deadline reshaping the roster, bringing in multiple players and optioning others as they tried to tighten the margins for the stretch run. Through all of that movement, Gabriel Arias stayed put, which says plenty about how Cleveland views him even in a roster that has been anything but static. His value has never been tied to one position, and that kind of defensive flexibility can carry real weight when the front office is juggling depth and matchups.
Arias has earned trust by being able to move around and hold down different spots without forcing the club to make a separate move just to cover him. Cleveland has also seen Petey Halpin take a step forward as a young player, with his defensive contributions adding to the teams options, but Arias remains the more established piece in that utility mix. For a team that keeps leaning on versatility, that kind of reliability can be easy to overlook until it suddenly becomes one of the reasons a player is still there. [Read more 🡒]