Guardians Free Agency May Come Down To One Risky Rotation Bet

The Guardians are exploring free agency to bolster their pitching staff, with seasoned hurlers Michael Soroka and Nick Pivetta emerging as top considerations amidst their respective health histories.

The Guardians are still shopping for starting pitching depth, and two names worth watching are Michael Soroka and Nick Pivetta.

That push lines up with what Zack Meisel emphasized from the GM Meetings: the team is spending a lot of time talking to agents and trying to add depth to the rotation. With that in mind, it makes sense to widen the circle a bit and take a closer look at a pair of free-agent starters who could fit, even if the price tags have been a little higher than expected.

Pivetta is the more electric name on paper. The 33-year-old right-hander posted a 2.86 ERA and a 2.21 FIP with an 11/2 K/BB/9 in just 34 innings for the Padres, but the catch is obvious: he was limited by an elbow strain in his pitching arm.

That’s the kind of detail that sends up alarms fast. MLB Trade Rumors has him at two years and $26 million, which would look like a bargain if not for the elbow concerns.

Still, the Guardians have built a reputation for helping pitchers manage health and rebuild value, so a two-year deal with a player opt-out could be the sort of structure that makes sense for both sides. Over the last two seasons, Pivetta has a 2.86 ERA, and when he’s right, he looks like a front-of-the-rotation arm.

The other option, Soroka, comes with his own injury history, but he gave the Braves 116 innings last season and did it with a 3.41 ERA, a 3.19 FIP and an 8.84/2.25 K/BB/9. He’s 29 and has topped 150 innings only once in his career, back in 2019, but he didn’t have any arm issues last season.

MLB Trade Rumors projects him at two years and $26 million, while FanGraphs has him at two years and $34 million. If Cleveland believes it can help pitchers stay healthy, Soroka profiles as a solid mid-rotation arm when available, and a similar two-year arrangement with a player opt-out could work for him as well.

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