Guardians Face A Game 2 Problem They Can't Let Snowball

The Guardians face a crucial test in Game Two as they aim to maintain momentum with strategic pitching, powerful offense, and unyielding defense against the Rays.

The Guardians are one win into this ALCS push, and Game 2 brings a very different kind of test. After handling the Drew Rasmussen matchup, Cleveland now turns to Parker Messick and a date with Freddy Peralta, with the next three victories standing between them and the World Series.

Messick is the biggest swing piece on the mound. He’s logged 193 innings this season, so there’s some fatigue to watch, but the Guardians spent the year seeing him perform like one of the best arms in baseball.

He was the sixth-best pitcher in MLB during the regular season, and Cleveland needs that version of him again if it wants to turn this series on its head. He’ll also have to work through some real trouble spots in the Rays’ lineup, especially the left-handed bat-mashing Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero.

At the plate, the Guardians could use someone - or several someones - to burst out all at once. Steven Kwan, Travis Bazzana, Angel Martinez and Brayan Rocchio all sit in that category.

Kwan and Bazzana have mixed in singles and walks. Martinez picked up his first playoff hit last night.

Rocchio, meanwhile, has been quiet for the past three games. Any one of those four feels close to producing the kind of night that can tilt a game.

Peralta, though, is a problem Cleveland has to solve first. Since landing with the Rays, he’s been excellent, posting a 0.96 ERA in September, and his changeup has been the pitch doing the most damage.

That’s not ideal for a Guardians offense that has trouble with changeups, though they did enough against another strong changeup artist in Rasmussen to scratch out a couple runs. The approach has to stay aggressive early in counts, especially on strikes, while also staying disciplined enough to battle off the changeup later.

Cleveland should also like its chances against a Rays bullpen that, outside Bryan Baker, appears vulnerable if the Guardians can keep forcing Tampa Bay to dig into multiple arms.

There’s one more wrinkle Cleveland has to be ready for: the chaos. The Rays are expected to lean hard into hit-and-run, bunting, basestealing and all the little games that can scramble a series.

That puts a premium on clean defense and sharp minds. The Guardians have the lead for now, but Game 2 figures to be about whether they can stay composed when Tampa Bay starts turning the tempo up.

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