Angel Martinez has given the Guardians plenty to like this season, but the real question is whether what he’s doing can hold up.
At the plate, the numbers say he has been productive. Martinez owns a 110 wRC+ and a .306 xwOBA, along with a 22/3 K/BB%.
Since returning from a broken foot, he has been even better, posting a 130 wRC+ while keeping the same K/BB% and xwOBA. His splits show a 132 wRC+ against right-handed pitching and a 99 wRC+ against lefties, though his career mark against left-handed pitching sits at 125 wRC+.
If he keeps hitting at all, that split against lefties should improve. The concern is whether a hitter with Martinez’s lack of walks and chase issues can keep this up in 2026.
That concern has a familiar shape for Guardians fans. Oscar Gonzalez had a strong age-24 season of his own, putting up a 123 wRC+ with a .325 xwOBA, a 19.6/3.9 K/BB%, a 47% chase rate, a 21% line drive rate, a 51% groundball rate and a 28% fly ball rate.
He also graded out terribly in the field, with -6 DRS in two years and -12 OAA over the same span. Gonzalez’s career never stabilized, and he has struggled to hit in the NPB so far, undone by poor defense, plate discipline problems and an inability to consistently lift the ball.
Martinez is not Gonzalez, but the comparison is hard to ignore. Defensively, he has been below average in the outfield, though he looks capable of being roughly average in right field with 1 DRS and 0 OAA, and not nearly as damaging in left with -3 DRS and -2 OAA.
There is some reason for optimism there, since moving to the outfield was a late change for him. Even so, the glove probably won’t be a carrying tool.
The biggest issue is what’s happening in the batter’s box, especially the chase rate. Martinez has a 22% line drive rate, a 39% ground ball rate and a 39% fly ball rate.
He also pulls the ball almost 50% of the time, which helps explain how he has already hit 17 homers this season. But the problem sitting right in the middle of everything is a 42% chase rate.
That is an ugly number for a regular, and it still comes in just shy of Gonzalez’s. Both players make contact in the mid-60% range when they chase, but Martinez has an 82% contact rate overall and rarely misses pitches in the strike zone.
There is a human side to this, too. Martinez is described as a truly special person who has already saved this team multiple times.
He has also shown real pop in big moments, including a 131 wRC+ in high leverage situations this season. Still, the warning sign is obvious: if he keeps chasing at a 42% clip, it is hard to see him as a long-term major league hitter.
If that number can get closer to the 35% he showed in his first season, the outlook changes fast, especially if his walk rate climbs toward 6% and he gets more chances to do damage on pitches in the zone.
There is even some reason to believe that kind of jump is possible. Martinez posted a 9.9% walk rate in the minors, so the discipline has existed before.
If he can recover even a little of that approach, while continuing to punish pulled fly balls and hanging pitches, the ceiling gets much more interesting. A version of Martinez who walks 7% of the time would look like an All-Star.
For now, he looks like a player who could open 2027 with a starting outfield job in front of him. But the Guardians would be wise to keep depth around him, because the chase problem is real, and it is the same kind of flaw that once wrecked another former Cleveland outfield breakout.
In Other News...
Guardians Clinched But Boston Still Holds A Huge Playoff Swing
The Guardians have already locked up their third straight trip to the postseason, thanks to a 1-0 win over the Red Sox that assured Cleveland a seat in October. What comes next still matters plenty, though, because the clubs final seeding and first-round path are tied to how Boston fares in a doubleheader against the Cubs.
A noreaster forced that makeup day into the schedule, and MLB is even weighing whether one of the games needs to be shifted to Tropicana Field. For Cleveland, the math is simple enough: Bostons results will help determine whether the Guardians get to host the ALDS or are headed to the Wild Card series, leaving the bracket picture unsettled for at least another day. [Read more 🡒]
Former Guardians Arm Is Back In Limbo At The Worst Time
Xzavion Curry is back in roster limbo after the Mets designated the former Guardians right-hander for assignment to clear space for waiver claim Philip Abner. Curry had spent most of his time with New York this season working in a long-relief role, logging 21 1/3 innings in the majors while also making appearances for Triple-A Syracuse.
Now the question is whether another club sees enough to put in a claim, or whether Curry clears waivers and gets pushed toward a more complicated next step. If he goes unclaimed, he can reject a minor league assignment and become a minor league free agent in the offseason, leaving his immediate future hanging at a time when every bullpen spot matters. [Read more 🡒]
Guardians Reached October On A Fenway Swing Fans Wont Believe
Angel Martinez gave Cleveland the jolt it needed at Fenway, sending a 319-foot homer into the night and lifting the Guardians to a 1-0 win over the Red Sox. The victory punched their ticket to the postseason and kept them one game ahead in the AL Central, with the division still within reach as the final stretch tightened.
For a club that has leaned on run prevention all season, the formula held up again in Boston. Clevelands pitching staff blanked the Red Sox from start to finish, and the kind of slim-margin win that can define October left the Guardians with both a playoff berth secured and a division race still very much alive. [Read more 🡒]