The Cavaliers head back into a tough road spot Wednesday night, and the timing is not doing them any favors. Cleveland visits the Knicks at Madison Square Garden on November 11, 2026, with tipoff set for 7:00 p.m. EST on ESPN, and New York enters riding a four-game winning streak.
These teams just saw each other four days ago in Cleveland, when the Knicks walked out with a 109-97 win. Karl Anthony-Towns powered New York with 29 points and 13 rebounds, while Donovan Mitchell led the Cavaliers with 37 points and four assists.
Cleveland’s road issues have been a theme early in the season, and the numbers around this matchup underline that pressure. The Cavaliers are 1-4 on the road against the reigning NBA Champion, and they’re trying to get back to .500 at 5-6 overall. New York comes in at 5-4.
Injuries are part of the picture, too. Sam Merrill has been ruled out with an elbow injury, while Jaylon Tyson is questionable because of an ankle issue. The Knicks are mostly healthy, though Josh Hart missed Tuesday’s game against the Milwaukee Bucks with an illness, and his status for Wednesday is uncertain.
Dimers ran 10,000 simulations of the matchup and came away with New York as the likelier winner. The model gives the Knicks a 60.9% chance to win, compared with 39.1% for Cleveland.
The same projections point to the Cavaliers covering +4.5 at 53.1%, while the over/under of 221.5 leans slightly to the over at 51.1%.
Dimers’ projected final score has New York winning 113-109.
The player prop outlook puts Donovan Mitchell at the center of Cleveland’s side, with an expected line of 22 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists. For New York, Jalen Brunson is projected for 25 points, 3 rebounds, and 7 assists.
The projected box score also includes Jarrett Allen at 13 points and 7 rebounds, Evan Mobley at 16 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists, and J. Harden at 17 points, 4 rebounds, and 6 assists for Cleveland.
For the Knicks, Karl Anthony-Towns is projected for 19 points, 12 rebounds, and 4 assists, O. Anunoby for 17 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists, M.
Bridges for 11 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists, and J. Hart for 11 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Last season, the Cavaliers and Knicks met three times, and Cleveland won just once. Wednesday gives the Cavs a chance to even this year’s series after the loss in Cleveland over the weekend.
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