Cavaliers Have 3 Swing Factors That Could Decide Their Season

As the Cavaliers prepare for the 2026-27 season, the success of their campaign hinges on key contributors like Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, and the ever-important play of Sam Merrill.

X-factors are the kind of players who can tilt a season without ever needing to lead the nightly headlines. For the Cavaliers heading into 2026-27, that list starts with three names that already feel central to everything Cleveland wants to do.

Some pieces around the roster changed in the offseason, but the core stayed intact in the places that matter most. Donovan Mitchell signed a long-term extension.

Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen were kept instead of being dealt, preserving Cleveland’s 4-5 pairing. And James Harden finally got his contract signed.

That sets the stage for a team that already knows where its strengths lie. The first major swing factor is Sam Merrill, whose impact last season was hard to ignore.

In the 52 regular season games he played, the Cavaliers went 37-15. When he was out, they were 15-15.

An injury to his shooting hand slowed him down in 2025-26 and dinged his efficiency, but the idea here is simple: if he’s healthy, he can matter in a big way. Merrill averaged 13 points per game last season, and there’s reason to think that number could climb. He’ll often be lined up next to Jaylon Tyson off the bench, giving Cleveland another important source of spacing and shot-making.

He handles the ball. He knocks down threes.

He changes the geometry of the floor. That kind of presence makes Merrill one of the clearest X-factors on the roster.

Jarrett Allen belongs in the same conversation. He has spent the last three seasons showing up in trade rumors and, for now, is still in Cleveland. The postseason was kind to him, and with Dean Wade gone to Philly, Allen is now the longest-tenured player on the team after arriving in 2020-21.

His value is easy to identify and tough to replace. He protects the rim, finishes lobs, and sets screens that create real problems for defenses. Allen is also one of the league’s most efficient players, and when he’s fully involved, the Cavaliers are that much more dangerous.

He already has a strong track record with Darius Garland, and he has also done well alongside James Harden. The one-time All-Star remains a player worth watching closely.

Then there’s Donovan Mitchell, who almost automatically qualifies for any list like this. He’s Cleveland’s top scorer and one of the league’s most explosive talents, and the numbers from last season backed that up. Mitchell averaged just under 30 points per game while shooting nearly 49% from the field.

The bigger question with Mitchell usually isn’t what he does, but what he leaves undone - and the answer is basically nothing. He has filled whatever role the team has needed, including clutch moments, and the new roster setup should give him a little more room to distribute the ball. That could push his assist numbers beyond last season’s marks.

He is the kind of difference-maker who can carry MVP-level aspirations, even if that’s no easy climb in this league. Still, Mitchell enters 2026-27 as one of the Cavaliers’ biggest X-factors, and probably the one with the widest reach.

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For Cavaliers fans, it is the sort of reminder that still stings because the alternate path always felt close enough to imagine. The championships that followed, the head-to-head stakes and the lasting debate over what might have happened if Durant had gone elsewhere have kept that era alive far beyond the final buzzer, and LeBron James recent move to Philadelphia with his declaration that it will be his final NBA stop only adds another layer to how that stretch of Cavs history gets remembered. [Read more 🡒]