Browns Suddenly Face A Brutal Question About Their AFC North Hopes

The Bengals are rising while the Browns stumble, as shifting dynamics in the AFC North set up a tense path to the playoffs.

The AFC North has tightened into a two-team race at the top, and the Browns are the one club sliding in the wrong direction. Cincinnati’s surge has changed the picture fast, while Pittsburgh’s bye week did nothing to protect its share of first place. Cleveland, meanwhile, is losing ground after a rough Week 9 that exposed how shaky things have become.

At the top, the Bengals are playing like the division’s most dangerous team. Since their Week 6 bye, Joe Burrow has been the NFL’s best quarterback by production, leading the league in EPA per play, passing yards, and passing touchdowns over that span. Cincinnati has topped 34 points in all three games since the break, and the Burrow-to-Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins combination has been too much for defenses to handle.

The Bengals’ defense hasn’t exactly carried the load. It ranks 19th in EPA per play since the bye.

But with the offense humming like this, Cincinnati only needs the defense to stay out of the way. The schedule has also been kind during this run, though that changes in Week 10 when the Bengals face the Steelers in a matchup that will decide control of the division.

Pittsburgh comes out of its bye tied for first, even without taking the field in Week 9. Cincinnati’s win over the Atlanta Falcons pulled the Bengals level with the Steelers, and the head-to-head result from Week 3 still gives Pittsburgh something to lean on.

Even so, the margin for error is gone. The Steelers will have to keep winning the way they want to win, by leaning on their strength in the trenches, if they’re going to hold off Cincinnati.

Cleveland’s loss to the New Orleans Saints pushed the Browns deeper into trouble. With Shedeur Sanders running the offense, they still couldn’t take advantage of a Saints defense that had allowed the most EPA per rush in the league entering Week 9.

The Browns didn’t even get to 100 rushing yards. A two-point conversion in overtime could have changed the entire conversation, but instead Cleveland is now looking up at both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.

The Browns are still not a total mess, but they’re clearly not the team that flashed as a possible dark horse AFC threat early in the season. Todd Monken has squeezed more out of the roster than it should probably be giving, yet the overall picture still points to a team that’s a year or two away from real contention.

Baltimore sits fourth, and the situation there looks even bleaker without Lamar Jackson. The Ravens haven’t scored more than 13 points in a game since Oct. 11, and the offense has completely unraveled. Derrick Henry appears to have taken a noticeable step back, and with no real passing threat, there hasn’t been room for him to operate.

Jacoby Brissett should at least make the offense functional. He isn’t a starting-caliber quarterback at this stage, but he’s a clear upgrade from Joe Fagnano.

Even so, Brissett alone isn’t enough to rescue Baltimore’s season. Unless the rest of the AFC North collapses down the stretch, the Ravens’ playoff hopes are finished.

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