Clemson’s absence from the preseason AP Top 25 is the kind of omission that leaves room for a few teams to get side-eye, and the list starts with Missouri.
The Tigers got 112 points but still fell just short of the rankings, finishing five points behind Missouri. For Clemson, it’s the first time in 15 years the program has opened a season unranked.
That doesn’t guarantee anything for Dabo Swinney’s team, and nobody is handing out praise before the Tigers face No. 11 LSU over Labor Day Weekend.
But Clemson still has every reason to feel slighted by the AP voters who passed on them 25 times to start the year.
So who got the benefit of the doubt instead? A few teams that, at least on paper, look a little too comfortably placed.
Houston is first on the list. Willie Fritz is a strong coach, and the Cougars’ jump to 10 wins last season after a 4-8 campaign in 2024 was a major step forward.
Still, there’s skepticism here for a reason. Houston has already cooled off after people started talking themselves into a Big 12 title run, and even with Keisean Henderson possibly taking over at quarterback from Conner Weigman, the Cougars feel like the fourth-best team in the league at best.
The Big 12 has never put multiple teams into the playoffs, and Clemson has done it seven times before, including as a 9-3 team in 2025. That makes this a simple question: is the Big 12’s fourth-best team really better than Clemson?
Iowa is another team that keeps getting the preseason treatment based on reputation more than urgency. Kirk Ferentz has built a Hall of Fame career, but the Hawkeyes still play offense like it’s trapped in another era.
Phil Parker remains an excellent defensive coordinator, yet Ferentz’s heir apparent, LeVar Woods, is now at lowly Michigan State. If AP voters think Clemson has grown stale, Iowa is hard to defend as a safer choice.
Louisville also lands in the conversation, though the case against the Cardinals is more about style and ceiling than outright disrespect. Jeff Brohm’s team belongs in the mix with Miami, SMU, Clemson, and Louisville as one of the four best bets from the ACC this season.
But unlike Clemson, Miami, and SMU, Louisville has never made the playoffs in the new format. The Cardinals can light it up on offense, but their defense leaves plenty to be desired.
They live in shootouts, and they die in shootouts. Clemson, by comparison, looks much more balanced.
Then there’s Missouri, the team that pushed Clemson out by five points and probably drew the most frustration from Tiger fans. Missouri always seems to fit a familiar Power Four pattern: ignored until it’s convenient to believe, then questioned the moment expectations rise.
Eliah Drinkwitz has done a strong job, but there are at least seven SEC teams that look more trustworthy as playoff contenders - Georgia, Texas, Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, and Texas A&M, with Tennessee not even included in that group. Missouri might still win more games than Clemson simply because it can pile up wins against unranked opponents, but that doesn’t make it the better preseason bet.
Tennessee rounds out the group, and its case depends almost entirely on whether Faizon Brandon is the real deal. If the true freshman quarterback is special, then ranking the Vols inside the top 20 makes sense.
If not, then Josh Heupel could be staring at a messy season in Knoxville. His offense raises the floor, but it also has a habit of running into trouble when the stakes rise, and the fact that he has already lost one great defensive coordinator in Tim Banks is not a great sign.
Without the SEC label, Tennessee would have a hard time being ranked over Clemson.
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Burley arrived as a highly regarded member of Clemsons 2023 recruiting class, but his on-field impact has been limited across his first two seasons. Even so, the timing makes this more than a routine roster note, because Clemson is now trying to sort out its interior depth while preparing for an opener that will demand every available body up front. [Read more 🡒]
