Reds First Round Buzz Points To A Fascinating Front Office Test

As the MLB draft looms, speculation mounts around the Cincinnati Reds' potential choice of high school talent Trevor Condon, raising questions about their strategy for the future.

The Reds are on the clock a little later than usual this summer, and the name Baseball America is tying to them at No. 18 is a familiar kind of draft bet for Cincinnati: upside, tools and plenty of projection.

In Carlos Collazo’s latest mock draft, the Reds land Trevor Condon, a high school outfielder from Etowah High School in Woodstock, Georgia. Collazo said Condon’s stock could be moving up quickly.

"Condon’s market starts to heat up a few picks in front of this spot," Baseball America's Carlos Collazo wrote. "He shouldn’t last too much longer if the Reds choose to not take him. This could be another potential landing spot for big-tools athletes like Justin Lebron or Sawyer Strosnider, and I’ve heard Cincinnati linked to a ton of the best lefthanders in the class, as well, both high school and college."

Collazo also pointed to another arm he believes could fit the Reds’ board.

"I haven’t heard Mason Edwards specifically tied to Cincinnati, but he seems to be moving up boards. I’ve heard some Andrew Abbott comps with Edwards in recent days, and if the Reds share that view, the pick could make a ton of sense."

Cincinnati’s first-round track record over the past few drafts shows how wide open things can be. Last year, the Reds took high school shortstop Steele Hall, who is putting together a huge season with the ACL Reds.

In 2024, they used the second overall pick on Wake Forest right-hander Chase Burns, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. A year earlier, they grabbed Rhett Lowder at No. 7 out of Wake Forest; Lowder missed all of last season with injuries but has spent most of this year in the rotation.

The Reds also had a competitive balance pick in 2023 and chose Ty Floyd, who has dealt with injuries since being drafted out of LSU after Tommy Johnson surgery.

Go back to 2022 and the pattern still holds. Cincinnati selected Cam Collier out of Chipola College in Marianna, Florida, and he remains in Double-A Chattanooga while struggling offensively this season.

Their other 2022 competitive balance pick came after Nick Castellanos declined the qualifying offer, and that selection turned into Sal Stewart. Stewart got called up at the end of last season and has become a fixture in Cincinnati’s lineup this year.

The through line for the Reds is pretty clear: take the best player, then trust the development path.

“Still really focused on the best player available and someone we can develop on their own timeline," Reds Director of Scouting Joe Katuska told MLB.com's Mark Sheldon before the 2025 MLB Draft.

With the draft only a couple of weeks away, the guesswork is just getting started. And for Cincinnati, that usually means the board can still swing in just about any direction.

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